Korona Kielce
vs
GKS Katowice
Garuda Lions Prediction: GKS Katowice
1 β 2 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability
Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice
| Probability | Korona Kielce | Draw | GKS Katowice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.1% | 27.0% | 37.9% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 35.1% | 27.0% | 37.9% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why GKS Katowice
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice match preview
In the upcoming Ekstraklasa match between Korona Kielce and GKS Katowice, the probabilities indicate a closely contested game. GKS Katowice holds a slight edge with a 38% chance of winning, while Korona Kielce has a 35% probability. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 1-2 in favor of GKS Katowice, with both teams expected to score at a rate of 60%. The expected goals for Korona Kielce stand at 1.43, while GKS Katowice is projected at 1.49.
Recent form shows Korona Kielce with a mixed record of L-W-L-W-D-W, while GKS Katowice has been more consistent with W-W-W-L-L-W. In their last two encounters, GKS Katowice has one win and one draw against Korona Kielce, indicating a competitive rivalry. The confidence grade for this match is marked as C, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding the outcome.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Korona Kielce and GKS Katowice expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.92
Korona Kielce and GKS Katowice attack and defence ratings
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GKS Katowice | 37.9% | 2.64 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% | 1.67 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.1% | 1.61 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Korona Kielce | 35.1% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| GKS Katowice | 37.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% |
| No | 40.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | GKS Katowice win | 18.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 62.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice stats
Korona Kielce and GKS Katowice recent form
| Korona Kielce |
LWLWDW |
| GKS Katowice |
WWWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Korona Kielce and GKS Katowice season so far
Korona Kielce record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 54% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
GKS Katowice record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Korona Kielce | GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-25 | GKS Katowice | Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.