GKS Katowice
vs
Pogon Szczecin
0 – 1 Full time
GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin overview
Garuda Lions analysis: GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin
| Probability | GKS Katowice | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.9% | 27.3% | 33.8% |
| Market | 47.2% | 25.1% | 27.7% |
| Final | 45.2% | 25.7% | 29.2% |
| Edge | -8.3% | +2.1% | +6.1% |
Why GKS Katowice
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
GKS Katowice and Pogon Szczecin expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.86
GKS Katowice and Pogon Szczecin attack and defence ratings
GKS Katowice
Pogon Szczecin
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin: result vs prediction
GKS Katowice 0 – 1 Pogon Szczecin
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa — team news & stats
- Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow
- Motor Lublin v Slask Wroclaw — match page
- Cracovia Krakow v Legia Warszawa — match page
- Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice
- Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia — team news & stats
- Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce
- Wisla Plock v Radomiak Radom — match page
Before and after this match
GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GKS Katowice | 45.2% | 2.21 | -8.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GKS Katowice | 45.2% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Pogon Szczecin | 29.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.0% |
| No | 41.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | GKS Katowice win | 19.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 61.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin stats
GKS Katowice and Pogon Szczecin recent form
| GKS Katowice |
WWWLLW |
| Pogon Szczecin |
WWWDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
GKS Katowice and Pogon Szczecin going into this match
GKS Katowice record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pogon Szczecin record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Pogon Szczecin | GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-29 | GKS Katowice | Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Pogon Szczecin | GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa | 4-0 |
| 2024-09-27 | GKS Katowice | Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.9%, draw 25.2%, away 27.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 3.74 | 3.34 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.65 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.90 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.02 | 3.80 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 1.93 | 3.74 | 3.32 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06 | 3.63 | 3.60 |
| SBO | 2.00 | 3.26 | 2.92 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .