Zaglebie Lubin
vs
Jagiellonia
Garuda Lions Prediction: Jagiellonia
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia
| Probability | Zaglebie Lubin | Draw | Jagiellonia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.8% | 26.1% | 34.2% |
| Market | 35.3% | 26.5% | 38.2% |
| Final | 36.4% | 26.4% | 37.2% |
| Edge | +4.4% | -0.4% | -4.0% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.57, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia match preview
Zaglebie Lubin faces Jagiellonia in an Ekstraklasa clash with both teams showing mixed recent form. Zaglebie Lubin's last six matches include two wins, one draw, and three losses, while Jagiellonia has recorded two wins and four losses. The probabilities suggest a balanced matchup, with both teams at 37% to win and a 27% chance of a draw.
The expected goals forecast indicates Zaglebie Lubin at 1.60 and Jagiellonia at 1.47, hinting at a competitive encounter. Our model predicts a most likely scoreline of 1-2, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% likelihood that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this prediction stands at C, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding the outcome.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zaglebie Lubin and Jagiellonia expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.08
Zaglebie Lubin and Jagiellonia attack and defence ratings
Zaglebie Lubin
Jagiellonia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Cracovia Krakow v Legia Warszawa — match page
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- Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce
- Wisla Plock v Radomiak Radom — match page
Before and after this match
Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jagiellonia | 37.2% | 2.69 | -4.0% | 2.57 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zaglebie Lubin | 36.4% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Jagiellonia | 37.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% |
| No | 37.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Jagiellonia win | 16.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.6% | |
| Loss | 65.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia stats
Zaglebie Lubin and Jagiellonia recent form
| Zaglebie Lubin |
LLWWDL |
| Jagiellonia |
WLLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zaglebie Lubin and Jagiellonia season so far
Zaglebie Lubin record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 54% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jagiellonia record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Jagiellonia | Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Zaglebie Lubin | Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa | 0-0 |
| 2025-07-11 | Jagiellonia | Zaglebie Lubin | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-21 | Jagiellonia | Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa | 1-3 |
| 2024-10-19 | Zaglebie Lubin | Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa | 1-3 |
| 2024-04-20 | Zaglebie Lubin | Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa | 1-2 |
| 2023-10-20 | Jagiellonia | Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa | 3-0 |
| 2023-03-18 | Jagiellonia | Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa | 2-2 |
| 2022-09-04 | Zaglebie Lubin | Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa | 1-1 |
| 2022-04-03 | Jagiellonia | Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.4%, draw 26.6%, away 38.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.61 | 3.48 | 2.41 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| Betano | 2.67 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.45 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.55 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.61 | 3.48 | 2.41 |
| Pinnacle | 2.65 | 3.61 | 2.57 |
| SBO | 2.49 | 3.11 | 2.34 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .