Ekstraklasa
·
·Matchday 11
Widzew Łódź
vs
Wisla Krakow
Garuda Lions Prediction: Wisla Krakow
0 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Widzew Łódź
34%
Draw
29%
Wisla Krakow
38%
Chance Wisla Krakow wins
38%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
55%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
8% of simulated outcomes
Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow
| Probability | Widzew Łódź | Draw | Wisla Krakow |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.5% | 28.6% | 37.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 33.5% | 28.6% | 37.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Wisla Krakow
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
49%
No goals
8%
Widzew Łódź and Wisla Krakow expected goals
Widzew Łódź
1.28
Wisla Krakow
1.36
Total expected goals: 2.64
Widzew Łódź and Wisla Krakow attack and defence ratings
Widzew Łódź
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Wisla Krakow
Attack
1.20 +20%
Defence
0.85 -15%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wisla Krakow | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Widzew Łódź | 33.5% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Wisla Krakow | 37.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% |
| No | 45.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wisla Krakow win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 62.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 0-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 8.5% |
Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow stats
Widzew Łódź and Wisla Krakow recent form
| Widzew Łódź |
DDDLLD |
| Wisla Krakow |
WWDLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Widzew Łódź and Wisla Krakow season so far
Widzew Łódź record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wisla Krakow record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.