Wieczysta Kraków
vs
Raków Częstochowa
Garuda Lions Prediction: Wieczysta Kraków
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa
| Probability | Wieczysta Kraków | Draw | Raków Częstochowa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.1% | 21.2% | 27.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 51.1% | 21.2% | 27.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Wieczysta Kraków
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.47 vs 1.55.
Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa match preview
In the upcoming Ekstraklasa match between Wieczysta Kraków and Raków Częstochowa, Wieczysta Kraków holds a 51% probability of winning, while Raków Częstochowa stands at 28%, with a 21% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Wieczysta Kraków, occurring with an 8% likelihood. The expectation for over 2.5 goals is high at 77%, and both teams scoring is projected at 75%.
Recent form shows Wieczysta Kraków struggling with a sequence of draws and losses, currently at D-L-D-L-L-L, while Raków Częstochowa has also faced difficulties, registering L-L-W-L-L-L in their last matches. Expected goals for Wieczysta Kraków are at 2.32, compared to 1.71 for Raków Częstochowa, indicating a potentially competitive encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wieczysta Kraków and Raków Częstochowa expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.01
Wieczysta Kraków and Raków Częstochowa attack and defence ratings
Wieczysta Kraków
Raków Częstochowa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wieczysta Kraków | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.6% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wieczysta Kraków | 51.1% |
| Draw | 21.2% | |
| Raków Częstochowa | 27.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.5% |
| No | 25.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wieczysta Kraków win | 37.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 42.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.2% |
| 1-1 | 7.7% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa stats
Wieczysta Kraków and Raków Częstochowa recent form
| Wieczysta Kraków |
WDLDLL |
| Raków Częstochowa |
LLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wieczysta Kraków and Raków Częstochowa season so far
Wieczysta Kraków record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Raków Częstochowa record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.