GKS Katowice
vs
Wieczysta Kraków
Garuda Lions Prediction: GKS Katowice
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków overview
Garuda Lions analysis: GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków
| Probability | GKS Katowice | Draw | Wieczysta Kraków |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.5% | 19.6% | 19.9% |
| Market | 43.1% | 25.7% | 31.2% |
| Final | 47.5% | 24.1% | 28.4% |
| Edge | +17.4% | -6.0% | -11.3% |
Why GKS Katowice
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 1.52.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices GKS Katowice below the model: +17.4 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.19, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków match preview
GKS Katowice hosts Wieczysta Kraków in an Ekstraklasa match with kickoff scheduled for October 12, 2026. GKS Katowice has a 47% probability of winning, while Wieczysta Kraków stands at 28%, with a 24% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of GKS Katowice, predicted at 9%.
Statistical analysis indicates a strong likelihood of goals, with over 2.5 goals expected at 76% and both teams to score at 71%. GKS Katowice's expected goals are 2.53, compared to Wieczysta Kraków's 1.44. Recent form shows GKS Katowice with mixed results, recording two wins and three losses in their last six matches, while Wieczysta Kraków has struggled, drawing once and losing five times.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
GKS Katowice and Wieczysta Kraków expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.82
GKS Katowice and Wieczysta Kraków attack and defence ratings
GKS Katowice
Wieczysta Kraków
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GKS Katowice | 47.5% | 2.11 | +17.4% | 2.19 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GKS Katowice | 47.5% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| Wieczysta Kraków | 28.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.8% |
| No | 29.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | GKS Katowice win | 34.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 45.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.7% |
| 1-1 | 7.6% | |
| 3-1 | 7.3% |
GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków stats
GKS Katowice and Wieczysta Kraków recent form
| GKS Katowice |
WLLWWL |
| Wieczysta Kraków |
WDLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
GKS Katowice and Wieczysta Kraków season so far
GKS Katowice record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Wieczysta Kraków record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.1%, draw 25.7%, away 31.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.15 | 3.58 | 2.98 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.70 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.65 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.70 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.19 | 3.80 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.13 | 3.58 | 2.96 |
| SBO | 2.02 | 3.34 | 2.81 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .