GKS Katowice
vs
Wieczysta Kraków
2 – 1 Full time
| 15′ | Ilia Shkurin | ||
| 45′ | José Antonio de la Rosa GarridoEfthymios Koulouris | ||
| 45′ | Mateusz·KowalczykBartosz Wolski | ||
| 62′ | Kamil PestkaMatúš Vojtko | ||
| 62′ | Tobias ChristensenBartosz Bialek | ||
| 62′ | Bartosz Bialek | ||
| 63′ | Mateusz WdowiakBorja Galan | ||
| 63′ | Marcel WedrychowskiSzymon bartlewicz | ||
| 68′ | Lisandro SemedoBen Lederman | ||
| 74′ | Bartosz Nowak | ||
| 79′ | Alan CzerwińskiArkadiusz Jedrych | ||
| 82′ | Antonio MilicNikola·Knezevic | ||
| 85′ | Kacper LukasiakSebastian Milewski |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 1 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 0 |
| 284 | Accurate passes | 504 |
GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków overview
Garuda Lions analysis: GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków
| Probability | GKS Katowice | Draw | Wieczysta Kraków |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.8% | 19.2% | 20.0% |
| Market | 45.7% | 24.4% | 29.8% |
| Final | 49.5% | 23.1% | 27.4% |
| Edge | +3.8% | -1.3% | -2.5% |
Why GKS Katowice
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.60 vs 1.50.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices GKS Katowice below our published probability: +3.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
GKS Katowice and Wieczysta Kraków expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.10
GKS Katowice and Wieczysta Kraków attack and defence ratings
GKS Katowice
Wieczysta Kraków
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków: result vs prediction
GKS Katowice 2 – 1 Wieczysta Kraków
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GKS Katowice | 49.5% | 2.02 | +3.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | GKS Katowice win | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GKS Katowice | 49.5% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| Wieczysta Kraków | 27.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.5% |
| No | 27.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | GKS Katowice win | 41.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 39.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.4% |
| 3-1 | 7.3% | |
| 1-1 | 7.1% |
GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków stats
GKS Katowice and Wieczysta Kraków recent form
| GKS Katowice |
WWLLWW |
| Wieczysta Kraków |
WDLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
GKS Katowice and Wieczysta Kraków going into this match
GKS Katowice record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wieczysta Kraków record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.7%, draw 24.4%, away 29.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 3.80 | 3.14 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 4.00 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.13 | 3.80 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 1.99 | 3.80 | 3.12 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06 | 4.04 | 3.26 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.29 | 2.75 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
20 snapshots recorded, from .