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Ekstraklasa · Full time ·Matchday 3

Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin

2 – 3 Full time

16′Vladyslav KocherginKarol Struski
25′Fran Tudor
45′Marko Bulat
45′Kamil NowogonskiJakub·Sypek
61′David ČolinaDamian Michalski
62′Igor OrlikowskiSebastian Kerk
62′Filip SzymczakMichalis Kosidis
70′Michał Nalepa
78′Karol StruskiAdam Basse
81′Damian DąbrowskiJakub Kolan
84′Fran Tudor
87′Marcel Regula
88′Jean CarlosMarko Perović
88′Tomasz PienkoAdin molnar
89′Marko Bulat
90′Filip Kocaba
90′Stratos Svarnas
90′Tomasz Kaczmarek
90′Zlatan Alomerović
90′Patryk Makuch
90′Michał Nalepa
90′Marcel Regula
90′Damian Michalski
90′Oskar Repka

Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow, CzestochowaReferee: Daniel Stefanski, Poland

Raków Częstochowa 49%
Draw 26%
Zaglebie Lubin 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 4
66 Possession % 34
5 Corners 2
8 Fouls 19
2 Offsides 0
1 Saves 5
459 Accurate passes 199

Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRaków CzęstochowaDrawZaglebie Lubin
Model41.5%29.2%29.3%
Market51.3%25.4%23.3%
Final48.9%26.3%24.8%
Edge-9.8%+3.8%+6.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Raków Częstoch ↓ / Zaglebie Lubin → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 10% 14% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Raków Częstochowa and Zaglebie Lubin expected goals

Raków Częstochowa 1.39
Zaglebie Lubin 1.13

Total expected goals: 2.51

Raków Częstochowa and Zaglebie Lubin attack and defence ratings

Raków Częstochowa

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Zaglebie Lubin

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin: result vs prediction

Raków Częstochowa 2 – 3 Zaglebie Lubin

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Ekstraklasa

Before and after this match

Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Raków Częstochowa 48.9% 2.05 -9.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.1% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.0% 1.92 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.2% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.5% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Raków Częstochowa48.9%
Draw26.3%
Zaglebie Lubin24.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.9%
Under 2.554.1%
Both teams to scoreYes52.0%
No48.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.2%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)51.1%
Handicap -1Raków Częstochowa win20.2%
Push (exactly one goal)21.3%
Loss58.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
1-010.0%
0-09.4%

Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin stats

Raków Częstochowa and Zaglebie Lubin recent form

newest first
Raków Częstochowa WLLLLD
Zaglebie Lubin WDLDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Raków Częstochowa and Zaglebie Lubin going into this match

league record before kick-off

Raków Częstochowa record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.

Zaglebie Lubin record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Raków Częstochowa wins 2Draws 3Zaglebie Lubin wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-14Zaglebie LubinRaków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa0-0
2025-12-14Raków CzęstochowaZaglebie LubinEkstraklasa0-1
2025-03-31Zaglebie LubinRaków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa0-2
2024-09-22Raków CzęstochowaZaglebie LubinEkstraklasa5-1
2024-05-04Zaglebie LubinRaków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa2-0
2023-11-05Raków CzęstochowaZaglebie LubinEkstraklasa5-0
2023-05-27Raków CzęstochowaZaglebie LubinEkstraklasa1-1
2022-11-12Zaglebie LubinRaków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa1-2
2022-05-14Zaglebie LubinRaków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa1-0
2021-11-27Raków CzęstochowaZaglebie LubinEkstraklasa4-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.2%, draw 25.5%, away 23.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.81 3.64 3.96
Bet365 1.80 3.75 4.20
BetVictor 1.80 3.50 3.90
Betano 1.82 3.60 4.10
Betfair 1.80 3.70 4.00
Marathonbet 1.79 3.64 3.95
Pinnacle 1.86 3.76 4.21
SBO 1.78 3.19 3.69
Unibet 1.82 3.60 4.20
William Hill 1.83 3.50 3.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 ▲ +0.01
X 3.64 ▲ +0.02
2 3.96 ▼ -0.28

13 snapshots recorded, from .