Raków Częstochowa
vs
GKS Katowice
1 – 4 Full time
Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice
| Probability | Raków Częstochowa | Draw | GKS Katowice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.9% | 22.4% | 39.7% |
| Market | 46.1% | 24.7% | 29.2% |
| Final | 44.0% | 24.1% | 31.8% |
| Edge | -8.2% | -2.3% | +10.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Raków Częstochowa and GKS Katowice expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.92
Raków Częstochowa and GKS Katowice attack and defence ratings
Raków Częstochowa
GKS Katowice
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice: result vs prediction
Raków Częstochowa 1 – 4 GKS Katowice
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raków Częstochowa | 44.0% | 2.27 | -8.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.9% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raków Częstochowa | 44.0% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| GKS Katowice | 31.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.6% |
| No | 25.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Raków Częstochowa win | 21.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.1% | |
| Loss | 61.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.4% |
| 1-2 | 7.5% | |
| 2-1 | 7.4% |
Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice stats
Raków Częstochowa and GKS Katowice recent form
| Raków Częstochowa |
LLWLLL |
| GKS Katowice |
WLLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Raków Częstochowa and GKS Katowice going into this match
Raków Częstochowa record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
GKS Katowice record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | GKS Katowice | Raków Częstochowa | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Raków Częstochowa | GKS Katowice | Poland Cup | 3-3 |
| 2025-12-07 | Raków Częstochowa | GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-19 | GKS Katowice | Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-08 | Raków Częstochowa | GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-03 | GKS Katowice | Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa | 0-1 |
| 2019-03-09 | GKS Katowice | Raków Częstochowa | I Liga | 0-3 |
| 2018-08-22 | Raków Częstochowa | GKS Katowice | I Liga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.1%, draw 24.7%, away 29.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.97 | 3.80 | 3.24 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.70 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.90 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.09 | 3.80 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.22 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00 | 4.08 | 3.38 |
| SBO | 2.02 | 3.40 | 2.94 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .