Ekstraklasa
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
Pogon Szczecin
vs
Korona Kielce
2 – 0 Full time
| 20′ | Alessandro Riccio | ||
| 21′ | Óscar García Junyent | ||
| 36′ | Maciej Wojciechowski | ||
| 45′ | Maciej Wojciechowski | ||
| 56′ | Ondrej LingrMartin Remacle | ||
| 56′ | Mariusz StępińskiDaniel Bak | ||
| 73′ | Darko ChurlinovKamil Grosicki | ||
| 73′ | Jordi SánchezJean-Pierre Nsame | ||
| 83′ | Jan BieganskiKellyn Acosta | ||
| 86′ | Paul Omo Mukairu | ||
| 87′ | Camilo MenaDawid Błanik | ||
| 88′ | Patrik HellebrandMorgan Faßbender | ||
| 90′ | Benjamin MendyLukas Willen | ||
| 90′ | Paul Omo MukairuIsaiah·Eichie |
Pogon Szczecin
43%
Draw
28%
Korona Kielce
29%
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 0 |
| 339 | Accurate passes | 356 |
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce
| Probability | Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Korona Kielce |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.7% | 30.2% | 22.2% |
| Market | 42.1% | 27.2% | 30.7% |
| Final | 43.5% | 28.0% | 28.5% |
| Edge | +1.4% | +0.7% | -2.1% |
Why Pogon Szczecin
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 0.86.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
67%
3+ goals
39%
No goals
12%
Pogon Szczecin and Korona Kielce expected goals
Pogon Szczecin
1.37
Korona Kielce
0.86
Total expected goals: 2.23
Pogon Szczecin and Korona Kielce attack and defence ratings
Pogon Szczecin
Attack
1.05 +5%
Defence
0.75 -25%
Korona Kielce
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce: result vs prediction
Pogon Szczecin 2 – 0 Korona Kielce
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock — team news & stats
- Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice
- Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin — team news & stats
- Slask Wroclaw v Lech Poznan — match page
- Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze
- Piast Gliwice v Widzew Łódź — match page
- Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow — team news & stats
- Radomiak Radom v Motor Lublin — match page
Before and after this match
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pogon Szczecin | 43.5% | 2.30 | +1.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pogon Szczecin | 43.5% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Korona Kielce | 28.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.3% |
| No | 55.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pogon Szczecin win | 23.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 52.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 1-0 | 13.5% | |
| 0-0 | 12.0% |
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce stats
Pogon Szczecin and Korona Kielce recent form
| Pogon Szczecin |
WWDLDD |
| Korona Kielce |
WLWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pogon Szczecin and Korona Kielce going into this match
Pogon Szczecin record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Korona Kielce record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- 54% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Pogon Szczecin wins
3Draws
2Korona Kielce wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Pogon Szczecin | Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Korona Kielce | Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
| 2024-12-09 | Korona Kielce | Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa | 0-0 |
| 2024-07-20 | Pogon Szczecin | Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa | 3-0 |
| 2024-03-17 | Korona Kielce | Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa | 2-2 |
| 2023-09-16 | Pogon Szczecin | Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa | 3-1 |
| 2023-03-18 | Pogon Szczecin | Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa | 0-0 |
| 2022-09-04 | Korona Kielce | Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa | 1-2 |
| 2019-12-20 | Pogon Szczecin | Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa | 0-1 |
| 2019-08-19 | Korona Kielce | Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.1%, draw 27.2%, away 30.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.15 | 3.48 | 3.06 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.40 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.26 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.13 | 3.48 | 3.04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.34 | 3.20 | 3.34 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.22 | 2.94 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.20 —
X
3.40 ▲ +0.02
2
3.02 ▼ -0.09
17 snapshots recorded, from .