Cracovia Krakow
vs
Zaglebie Lubin
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cracovia Krakow
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin
| Probability | Cracovia Krakow | Draw | Zaglebie Lubin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.9% | 30.1% | 33.0% |
| Market | 49.0% | 27.0% | 24.0% |
| Final | 45.9% | 27.8% | 26.3% |
| Edge | -12.0% | +3.1% | +9.0% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.98, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin match preview
Cracovia Krakow faces Zaglebie Lubin in an Ekstraklasa matchup on October 10, 2026. The model gives Cracovia Krakow a 47% chance of winning, while Zaglebie Lubin has a 26% probability of victory, and a draw stands at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Cracovia Krakow, with a 10% chance of occurring. Expected goals are close, with Cracovia Krakow at 1.25 and Zaglebie Lubin at 1.17.
In terms of recent form, Cracovia Krakow has struggled with three losses in their last five matches, alongside one draw and one win. Conversely, Zaglebie Lubin has shown better form with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their recent outings. The head-to-head record between the two teams reveals no wins for either side in their last two encounters, resulting in two draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cracovia Krakow and Zaglebie Lubin expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.42
Cracovia Krakow and Zaglebie Lubin attack and defence ratings
Cracovia Krakow
Zaglebie Lubin
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock — team news & stats
- Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice
- Slask Wroclaw v Lech Poznan — match page
- Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze
- Piast Gliwice v Widzew Łódź — match page
- Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce
- Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow — team news & stats
- Radomiak Radom v Motor Lublin — match page
Before and after this match
Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cracovia Krakow | 45.9% | 2.18 | -12.0% | 1.98 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cracovia Krakow | 45.9% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Zaglebie Lubin | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% |
| No | 49.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cracovia Krakow win | 16.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 62.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.2% | |
| 1-0 | 9.8% |
Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin stats
Cracovia Krakow and Zaglebie Lubin recent form
| Cracovia Krakow |
LLLDLW |
| Zaglebie Lubin |
LWWDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cracovia Krakow and Zaglebie Lubin season so far
Cracovia Krakow record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zaglebie Lubin record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 59% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Zaglebie Lubin | Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Cracovia Krakow | Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-24 | Zaglebie Lubin | Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa | 1-2 |
| 2024-11-29 | Cracovia Krakow | Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-18 | Zaglebie Lubin | Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa | 1-1 |
| 2023-11-02 | Cracovia Krakow | Zaglebie Lubin | Cup | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-11 | Cracovia Krakow | Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa | 2-1 |
| 2023-05-13 | Cracovia Krakow | Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa | 0-1 |
| 2022-10-30 | Zaglebie Lubin | Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa | 0-2 |
| 2022-04-18 | Cracovia Krakow | Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.0%, draw 27.0%, away 24.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 3.56 | 3.86 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.90 | 3.35 | 4.05 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.98 | 3.45 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.56 | 3.84 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.47 | 4.17 |
| SBO | 1.90 | 3.09 | 3.34 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .