Ekstraklasa · Full time ·Matchday 10

Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin

3 – 1 Full time

27′Aleks Lawniczak
29′Amir Al-Ammari
53′Zlatan Alomerović
54′Ajdin Hasić
64′Mateusz GrzybekJosip Ćorluka
68′Josip Ćorluka
70′David Čolina
71′sayfallah ltaief
73′David ČolinaDamian Michalski
73′Filip SzymczakSzymon Lyczko
73′Jakub·SypekSebastian Kerk
74′sayfallah ltaiefMartin Minchev
80′Mateusz KlichMohamed Berte
90′Ajdin Hasić
90′Filip KocabaMihael Mlinarić
90′Ajdin HasićKamil Glik
90′Leszek Ojrzynski
90′Mohamed Berte

Marshal Józef Piłsudski Stadium, KrakowReferee: Tomasz Marciniak

Cracovia Krakow 46%
Draw 28%
Zaglebie Lubin 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 6
59 Possession % 41
5 Corners 1
14 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 0
5 Saves 3
356 Accurate passes 246

Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCracovia KrakowDrawZaglebie Lubin
Model36.9%30.1%33.0%
Market49.4%26.7%23.9%
Final46.2%27.6%26.2%
Edge-3.1%+0.8%+2.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cracovia Krako ↓ / Zaglebie Lubin → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 9% 1 10% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Cracovia Krakow and Zaglebie Lubin expected goals

Cracovia Krakow 1.25
Zaglebie Lubin 1.17

Total expected goals: 2.42

Cracovia Krakow and Zaglebie Lubin attack and defence ratings

Cracovia Krakow

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Zaglebie Lubin

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin: result vs prediction

Cracovia Krakow 3 – 1 Zaglebie Lubin

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Ekstraklasa

Before and after this match

Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cracovia Krakow 46.2% 2.16 -3.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.4% 1.77 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.5% 1.98 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.8% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.1% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cracovia Krakow46.2%
Draw27.6%
Zaglebie Lubin26.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.6%
Under 2.556.4%
Both teams to scoreYes50.5%
No49.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.8%
12 (either side)72.4%
X2 (draw or away)53.8%
Handicap -1Cracovia Krakow win16.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss63.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
0-010.2%
1-09.8%

Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin stats

Cracovia Krakow and Zaglebie Lubin recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cracovia Krakow and Zaglebie Lubin going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cracovia Krakow record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zaglebie Lubin record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 59% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Cracovia Krakow wins 4Draws 1Zaglebie Lubin wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-03Zaglebie LubinCracovia KrakowEkstraklasa0-0
2025-11-03Cracovia KrakowZaglebie LubinEkstraklasa0-0
2025-05-24Zaglebie LubinCracovia KrakowEkstraklasa1-2
2024-11-29Cracovia KrakowZaglebie LubinEkstraklasa1-1
2024-02-18Zaglebie LubinCracovia KrakowEkstraklasa1-1
2023-11-02Cracovia KrakowZaglebie LubinCup1-0
2023-08-11Cracovia KrakowZaglebie LubinEkstraklasa2-1
2023-05-13Cracovia KrakowZaglebie LubinEkstraklasa0-1
2022-10-30Zaglebie LubinCracovia KrakowEkstraklasa0-2
2022-04-18Cracovia KrakowZaglebie LubinEkstraklasa1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.4%, draw 26.7%, away 23.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.85 3.56 3.86
Bet365 1.85 3.40 3.70
BetVictor 1.85 3.40 3.80
Betano 1.90 3.35 4.05
Betfair 1.90 3.50 3.90
Dafabet 1.96 3.55 3.85
Marathonbet 1.83 3.56 3.84
Pinnacle 1.93 3.49 4.26
SBO 1.88 3.21 3.50
William Hill 1.85 3.30 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.86 ▲ +0.01
X 3.45 ▼ -0.02
2 3.85 ▼ -0.10

15 snapshots recorded, from .