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Poland Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce

4 – 2 Full time

5′K. Plichta
18′K. Plichta
34′S. Szczytniewski
46′J. BarczakL. Trepka
46′S. SzczytniewskiK. Mis
56′K. PlichtaM. Lewandowski
56′N. BaierT. Rygula
56′D. KadziorN. Niemann
57′D. Hoyo-KowalskiL. Tumala
61′R. MakowskiS. Kobusinski
61′N. ZielonkaC. Demianiuk
69′M. Rosolek
71′J. EskinjaB. Jankowski
81′M. MarzecP. Klimek
85′P. Szur
85′M. Lewandowski
90′M. Rosolek
97′J. Chorosinski
103′M. BegalaO. Wojtczak
120′M. Lewandowski

Tychy City Stadium, TychyReferee: P. Idzik

Tychy 71 41%
Draw 27%
Pogoń Siedlce 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTychy 71DrawPogoń Siedlce
Model29.1%28.5%42.4%
Market45.2%26.6%28.2%
Final41.2%27.1%31.7%
Edge-4.0%+0.5%+3.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Tychy 71 ↓ / Pogoń Siedlce → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 8% 1 7% 14% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 9%

Tychy 71 and Pogoń Siedlce expected goals

Tychy 71 1.16
Pogoń Siedlce 1.46

Total expected goals: 2.62

Tychy 71 and Pogoń Siedlce attack and defence ratings

Tychy 71

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Pogoń Siedlce

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce: result vs prediction

Tychy 71 4 – 2 Pogoń Siedlce

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Poland Cup

Before and after this match

Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Tychy 71 41.2% 2.43 -4.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.6% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.8% 1.86 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.9% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.2% 1.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Tychy 7141.2%
Draw27.1%
Pogoń Siedlce31.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.4%
Under 2.551.6%
Both teams to scoreYes53.8%
No46.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.3%
12 (either side)72.9%
X2 (draw or away)58.8%
Handicap -1Tychy 71 win12.1%
Push (exactly one goal)16.7%
Loss71.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
0-19.4%
1-28.9%

Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce stats

Tychy 71 and Pogoń Siedlce recent form

newest first
Tychy 71 WWDDLL
Pogoń Siedlce WLLLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

3Tychy 71 wins 0Draws 1Pogoń Siedlce wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-12Pogoń SiedlceTychy 71I Liga0-1
2025-09-27Tychy 71Pogoń SiedlceI Liga1-3
2025-03-07Tychy 71Pogoń SiedlceI Liga2-0
2024-08-21Pogoń SiedlceTychy 71I Liga0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.2%, draw 26.6%, away 28.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.01 3.34 3.20
Bet365 1.95 3.30 3.40
BetVictor 1.95 3.50 3.40
Betano 2.00 3.50 3.30
Betfair 2.00 3.50 3.10
Dafabet 2.09 3.45 3.35
Marathonbet 1.99 3.34 3.12
Pinnacle 1.94 3.49 3.22
SBO 2.00 3.10 3.06
William Hill 2.05 3.20 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▼ -0.01
X 3.40 ▼ -0.06
2 3.21 —

3 snapshots recorded, from .