Garuda Lions
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Poland Cup · Full time ·Round of 64

Sokół Ostróda vs Sokół Kleczew

1 – 2 Full time

11′K. Nowicki
30′M. Zimmer
46′J. TkaczykF. Adamski
46′B. JuszczykJ. Antczak
59′J. Antczak
60′I. LawrynowiczD. Dudzinski
70′A. KubackiO. Dari
75′M. ZimmerJ. Andrzejewski
76′F. Adamski
78′F. Adamski
79′B. Danowski
81′A. WasiakB. Paluszek
81′A. ZaborowskiF. Czerwonka
81′B. DanowskiW. Benedyktowicz
84′B. Paluszek
84′K. ImaiidaW. Wasilowicz
87′O. YatsenkoK. Meyer
90′W. Wasilowicz

Municipal Stadium OCSiR, Ostroda

Sokół Ostróda 23%
Draw 21%
Sokół Kleczew 56%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sokół Ostróda vs Sokół Kleczew overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sokół Ostróda vs Sokół Kleczew

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySokół OstródaDrawSokół Kleczew
Model37.1%25.3%37.6%
Market18.4%19.3%62.3%
Final23.0%20.8%56.1%
Edge+18.7%+6.0%-24.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sokół Ostróda ↓ / Sokół Kleczew → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Sokół Ostróda and Sokół Kleczew expected goals

Sokół Ostróda 1.61
Sokół Kleczew 1.64

Total expected goals: 3.24

Sokół Ostróda and Sokół Kleczew attack and defence ratings

Sokół Ostróda

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Sokół Kleczew

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sokół Ostróda vs Sokół Kleczew: result vs prediction

Sokół Ostróda 1 – 2 Sokół Kleczew

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Poland Cup

Before and after this match

Sokół Ostróda vs Sokół Kleczew markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sokół Kleczew 56.1% 1.78 -24.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.8% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.3% 1.53 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 79.2% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.0% 1.61 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sokół Ostróda23.0%
Draw20.8%
Sokół Kleczew56.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.8%
Under 2.537.2%
Both teams to scoreYes65.3%
No34.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.9%
12 (either side)79.2%
X2 (draw or away)77.0%
Handicap -1Sokół Kleczew win19.7%
Push (exactly one goal)18.4%
Loss62.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
1-28.4%
2-18.3%

Sokół Ostróda vs Sokół Kleczew stats

Sokół Ostróda and Sokół Kleczew recent form

newest first
Sokół Ostróda no matches on record
Sokół Kleczew D

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Sokół Ostróda vs Sokół Kleczew head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Sokół Ostróda vs Sokół Kleczew odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 18.4%, draw 19.3%, away 62.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 5.00 4.33 1.45
1xBet 5.11 4.85 1.43
Bet365 4.50 4.75 1.48
BetVictor 5.00 4.40 1.50
Betano 4.65 4.45 1.50
Betfair 5.00 4.75 1.44
Dafabet 5.00 5.00 1.49
Marathonbet 4.95 4.85 1.42
Pinnacle 3.74 4.76 1.54
Superbet 4.85 4.70 1.48
Unibet 5.60 4.60 1.40
William Hill 4.80 4.40 1.44

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.