Poland Cup · Full time ·Round of 64

Górnik Zabrze II vs Olimpia Grudziądz

3 – 4 Full time

5′I. Kowalik
13′M. Wichtowski
19′K. Cichon
24′L. Podolski
46′B. MikolajczykM. Posmyk
46′B. ZbiciakP. Stolc
46′S. MichalskiD. Olejarka
46′F. NowackiD. Jastrzembski
51′A. Griksa
53′J. Pietrzyk
60′J. PietrzykI. Przetak
63′F. WilakB. Brzek
68′W. Szafranek
77′I. Tsyupa
79′L. PodolskiJ. Albert
79′J. SierackiR. Kocot
79′K. CichonD. Baldyga
84′M. Posmyk
86′S. Gorniak
87′W. Szafranek
89′i. SwierkowskiA. Papierniak
90′K. Jarzec

KS MOSiR Sparta, Zabrze

Górnik Zabrze II 14%
Draw 18%
Olimpia Grudziądz 68%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Górnik Zabrze II vs Olimpia Grudziądz overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Górnik Zabrze II vs Olimpia Grudziądz

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGórnik Zabrze IIDrawOlimpia Grudziądz
Model31.1%25.0%43.9%
Market7.9%15.9%76.2%
Final13.7%18.2%68.2%
Edge+23.2%+9.1%-32.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Olimpia Grudziądz

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.47.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Górnik Zabrze ↓ / Olimpia Grudzi → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 11% 9% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Górnik Zabrze II and Olimpia Grudziądz expected goals

Górnik Zabrze II 1.47
Olimpia Grudziądz 1.79

Total expected goals: 3.26

Górnik Zabrze II and Olimpia Grudziądz attack and defence ratings

Górnik Zabrze II

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Olimpia Grudziądz

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Górnik Zabrze II vs Olimpia Grudziądz: result vs prediction

Górnik Zabrze II 3 – 4 Olimpia Grudziądz

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Poland Cup

Before and after this match

Górnik Zabrze II vs Olimpia Grudziądz markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Olimpia Grudziądz 68.2% 1.47 -32.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.0% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.0% 1.54 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 86.3% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.8% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Górnik Zabrze II13.7%
Draw18.2%
Olimpia Grudziądz68.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.0%
Under 2.537.0%
Both teams to scoreYes65.0%
No35.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)31.8%
12 (either side)81.8%
X2 (draw or away)86.3%
Handicap -1Olimpia Grudziądz win24.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss55.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
1-29.0%
2-17.5%

Górnik Zabrze II vs Olimpia Grudziądz stats

Górnik Zabrze II and Olimpia Grudziądz recent form

newest first
Górnik Zabrze II no matches on record
Olimpia Grudziądz WLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Górnik Zabrze II vs Olimpia Grudziądz head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Górnik Zabrze II vs Olimpia Grudziądz odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 7.9%, draw 15.9%, away 76.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 14.00 5.10 1.17
1xBet 12.60 5.60 1.19
Betano 8.50 5.00 1.26
Betfair 13.00 6.00 1.15
Dafabet 11.00 6.20 1.22
Marathonbet 12.00 5.60 1.18
Superbet 9.40 7.10 1.17
Unibet 8.50 5.75 1.22

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 11.50 ▲ +3.20
X 5.67 ▼ -0.50
2 1.19 ▼ -0.03

3 snapshots recorded, from .