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Poland Cup · Full time ·Round of 64

Znicz Pruszków vs Cracovia Krakow

1 – 1 Full time

10′A. Nadolski
36′M. Praszelik
36′V. Okhronchuk
46′V. OkhronchukM. Borecki
46′M. JelenskiA. Redlinski
46′D. SzafranskiA. Ratajczyk
55′K. KnapM. Klich
55′K. ZahiroleslamM. Berte
61′D. BaumgartnerO. Kakabadze
68′A. BartoszewiczM. Glowinski
72′N. ZawistowskiJ. Kosmalski
80′A. Hasic
81′S. LtaiefM. Minchev
81′M. PraszelikD. Kameri
89′O. Kakabadze
90′T. Proczek
93′F. HolujM. Pawlik
101′M. Klich
106′B. Selan
107′M. Glowinski
114′D. Pila
115′A. Hasic
120′D. Barnowski
120′A. Hasic
120′T. Proczek
120′M. Klich
120′A. Ratajczyk
120′O. Kakabadze
120′A. Nadolski

Stadion MZOS Znicz

Znicz Pruszków 21%
Draw 23%
Cracovia Krakow 55%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Znicz Pruszków vs Cracovia Krakow overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Znicz Pruszków vs Cracovia Krakow

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZnicz PruszkówDrawCracovia Krakow
Model38.9%27.1%34.0%
Market15.4%22.0%62.6%
Final21.3%23.3%55.4%
Edge+23.5%+5.2%-28.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Znicz Pruszków ↓ / Cracovia Krako → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 7% 13% 8% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Znicz Pruszków and Cracovia Krakow expected goals

Znicz Pruszków 1.45
Cracovia Krakow 1.39

Total expected goals: 2.84

Znicz Pruszków and Cracovia Krakow attack and defence ratings

Znicz Pruszków

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Cracovia Krakow

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Znicz Pruszków vs Cracovia Krakow: result vs prediction

Znicz Pruszków 1 – 1 Cracovia Krakow

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Poland Cup

Before and after this match

Znicz Pruszków vs Cracovia Krakow markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cracovia Krakow 55.4% 1.80 -28.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.0% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.4% 1.68 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 78.7% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.0% 1.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Znicz Pruszków21.3%
Draw23.3%
Cracovia Krakow55.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.0%
Under 2.545.0%
Both teams to scoreYes59.4%
No40.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)44.6%
12 (either side)76.7%
X2 (draw or away)78.7%
Handicap -1Cracovia Krakow win16.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.4%
Loss65.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.8%
2-18.7%
1-28.0%

Znicz Pruszków vs Cracovia Krakow stats

Znicz Pruszków and Cracovia Krakow recent form

newest first
Znicz Pruszków WWLLLD
Cracovia Krakow LWWDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Znicz Pruszków vs Cracovia Krakow head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Znicz Pruszków vs Cracovia Krakow odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 15.4%, draw 22.0%, away 62.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 5.80 3.90 1.44
1xBet 6.51 4.10 1.42
Bet365 5.50 4.33 1.42
BetVictor 6.50 4.20 1.44
Betano 5.70 3.95 1.47
Betfair 6.00 4.20 1.40
Dafabet 6.20 4.40 1.47
Marathonbet 6.25 4.10 1.41
Pinnacle 5.85 4.10 1.40
SBO 5.22 3.64 1.36
Superbet 5.60 4.10 1.49
Unibet 4.90 4.10 1.50
William Hill 6.00 3.80 1.44

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.85 ▲ +0.60
X 4.10 —
2 1.44 ▼ -0.06

3 snapshots recorded, from .