Ekstraklasa · Full time ·Matchday 6

Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow

2 – 1 Full time

Stadion im. Braci Czachorów, RadomReferee: Piotr Lasyk, Poland

Radomiak Radom 31%
Draw 28%
Cracovia Krakow 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRadomiak RadomDrawCracovia Krakow
Model30.0%28.6%41.4%
Market31.6%27.6%40.8%
Final31.2%27.8%41.0%
Edge-1.6%+1.1%+0.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Cracovia Krakow

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Radomiak Radom ↓ / Cracovia Krako → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 8% 1 7% 14% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Radomiak Radom and Cracovia Krakow expected goals

Radomiak Radom 1.18
Cracovia Krakow 1.43

Total expected goals: 2.61

Radomiak Radom and Cracovia Krakow attack and defence ratings

Radomiak Radom

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.43 +43%

Cracovia Krakow

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow: result vs prediction

Radomiak Radom 2 – 1 Cracovia Krakow

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Ekstraklasa

Before and after this match

Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cracovia Krakow 41.0% 2.44 +0.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.7% 1.93 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.9% 1.86 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.2% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.4% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Radomiak Radom31.2%
Draw27.8%
Cracovia Krakow41.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.3%
Under 2.551.7%
Both teams to scoreYes53.9%
No46.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.0%
12 (either side)72.2%
X2 (draw or away)68.8%
Handicap -1Cracovia Krakow win20.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss58.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.7%
0-19.3%
1-28.9%

Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow stats

Radomiak Radom and Cracovia Krakow recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Radomiak Radom and Cracovia Krakow going into this match

league record before kick-off

Radomiak Radom record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Cracovia Krakow record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Radomiak Radom wins 1Draws 5Cracovia Krakow wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-11Cracovia KrakowRadomiak RadomEkstraklasa0-0
2025-11-07Radomiak RadomCracovia KrakowEkstraklasa3-0
2025-03-08Cracovia KrakowRadomiak RadomEkstraklasa1-2
2024-08-31Radomiak RadomCracovia KrakowEkstraklasa2-1
2024-07-03Cracovia KrakowRadomiak RadomFriendlies Clubs0-1
2024-02-10Cracovia KrakowRadomiak RadomEkstraklasa6-0
2023-08-05Radomiak RadomCracovia KrakowEkstraklasa0-1
2023-04-15Cracovia KrakowRadomiak RadomEkstraklasa3-0
2022-09-30Radomiak RadomCracovia KrakowEkstraklasa0-2
2022-04-22Radomiak RadomCracovia KrakowEkstraklasa0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.6%, draw 27.6%, away 40.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.95 3.50 2.25
1xBet 2.94 3.44 2.26
Bet365 2.90 3.20 2.25
BetVictor 2.88 3.30 2.25
Betano 3.00 3.35 2.27
Betfair 2.88 3.50 2.30
Dafabet 3.05 3.45 2.32
Marathonbet 2.92 3.44 2.24
Pinnacle 2.97 3.58 2.28
SBO 2.83 3.06 2.12
Superbet 3.00 3.35 2.30
Unibet 2.88 3.35 2.38
William Hill 2.90 3.30 2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.92 ▲ +0.42
X 3.35 ▲ +0.05
2 2.26 ▼ -0.44

13 snapshots recorded, from .