Ekstraklasa · Full time ·Matchday 6

Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw

1 – 1 Full time

Stadion Wojska Polskiego w Warszawie, WarsawReferee: Marcin Szczerbowicz, Poland

Legia Warszawa 62%
Draw 22%
Slask Wroclaw 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLegia WarszawaDrawSlask Wroclaw
Model61.5%23.0%15.6%
Market61.7%22.0%16.2%
Final61.7%22.3%16.1%
Edge-0.2%+0.9%-0.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Legia Warszawa

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 0.92.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Legia Warszawa ↓ / Slask Wroclaw → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 10% 11% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 7% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Legia Warszawa and Slask Wroclaw expected goals

Legia Warszawa 1.99
Slask Wroclaw 0.92

Total expected goals: 2.91

Legia Warszawa and Slask Wroclaw attack and defence ratings

Legia Warszawa

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 0.62 -38%

Slask Wroclaw

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw: result vs prediction

Legia Warszawa 1 – 1 Slask Wroclaw

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Ekstraklasa

Before and after this match

Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Legia Warszawa 61.7% 1.62 -0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.6% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.8% 1.89 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.9% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 38.7% 2.59 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Legia Warszawa61.7%
Draw22.3%
Slask Wroclaw16.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.6%
Under 2.544.4%
Both teams to scoreYes52.8%
No47.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.9%
12 (either side)77.7%
X2 (draw or away)38.3%
Handicap -1Legia Warszawa win38.0%
Push (exactly one goal)23.3%
Loss38.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.9%
2-010.8%
2-19.9%

Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw stats

Legia Warszawa and Slask Wroclaw recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Legia Warszawa and Slask Wroclaw going into this match

league record before kick-off

Legia Warszawa record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

Slask Wroclaw record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Legia Warszawa wins 3Draws 2Slask Wroclaw wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-03-02Legia WarszawaSlask WroclawEkstraklasa3-1
2024-08-25Slask WroclawLegia WarszawaEkstraklasa1-1
2024-04-21Legia WarszawaSlask WroclawEkstraklasa0-0
2023-10-21Slask WroclawLegia WarszawaEkstraklasa4-0
2023-05-27Legia WarszawaSlask WroclawEkstraklasa3-1
2022-11-13Slask WroclawLegia WarszawaEkstraklasa0-0
2022-03-07Legia WarszawaSlask WroclawEkstraklasa1-0
2021-09-11Slask WroclawLegia WarszawaEkstraklasa1-0
2021-03-07Slask WroclawLegia WarszawaEkstraklasa0-1
2020-10-21Legia WarszawaSlask WroclawEkstraklasa2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 61.7%, draw 22.0%, away 16.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.51 4.20 5.90
1xBet 1.50 4.30 5.74
Bet365 1.48 3.90 6.50
BetVictor 1.50 4.10 5.50
Betano 1.55 4.10 5.50
Betfair 1.50 4.33 5.50
Dafabet 1.54 4.30 5.80
Marathonbet 1.49 4.30 5.70
Pinnacle 1.50 4.45 5.84
SBO 1.48 3.77 4.84
Superbet 1.53 4.20 5.55
Unibet 1.50 4.35 6.00
William Hill 1.50 4.00 5.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.50 ▼ -0.07
X 4.20 ▲ +0.10
2 5.70 ▲ +0.50

14 snapshots recorded, from .