Ekstraklasa · Full time ·Matchday 6

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin

0 – 0 Full time

KGHM Zaglebie Arena, LubinReferee: Paweł Raczkowski, Poland

Zaglebie Lubin 36%
Draw 30%
Pogon Szczecin 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZaglebie LubinDrawPogon Szczecin
Model33.6%33.8%32.6%
Market36.9%28.2%34.9%
Final36.1%29.6%34.4%
Edge-3.3%+5.6%-2.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zaglebie Lubin ↓ / Pogon Szczecin → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 12% 1 12% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 60%
3+ goals 32%
No goals 15%

Zaglebie Lubin and Pogon Szczecin expected goals

Zaglebie Lubin 1.00
Pogon Szczecin 0.98

Total expected goals: 1.98

Zaglebie Lubin and Pogon Szczecin attack and defence ratings

Zaglebie Lubin

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Pogon Szczecin

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin: result vs prediction

Zaglebie Lubin 0 – 0 Pogon Szczecin

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Ekstraklasa

Before and after this match

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Zaglebie Lubin 36.1% 2.77 -3.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 68.3% 1.46 — —
Both teams to score No 59.3% 1.69 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.4% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.5% 1.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zaglebie Lubin36.1%
Draw29.6%
Pogon Szczecin34.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.7%
Under 2.568.3%
Both teams to scoreYes40.7%
No59.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.6%
12 (either side)70.4%
X2 (draw or away)63.9%
Handicap -1Zaglebie Lubin win13.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.4%
Loss66.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.2%
1-114.9%
1-012.5%

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin stats

Zaglebie Lubin and Pogon Szczecin recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zaglebie Lubin and Pogon Szczecin going into this match

league record before kick-off

Zaglebie Lubin record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Pogon Szczecin record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Zaglebie Lubin wins 1Draws 6Pogon Szczecin wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-04Zaglebie LubinPogon SzczecinFriendlies Clubs2-0
2026-05-15Zaglebie LubinPogon SzczecinEkstraklasa0-1
2025-11-24Pogon SzczecinZaglebie LubinEkstraklasa5-1
2025-02-01Pogon SzczecinZaglebie LubinEkstraklasa1-0
2024-12-04Pogon SzczecinZaglebie LubinCup4-3
2024-07-28Zaglebie LubinPogon SzczecinEkstraklasa2-2
2024-03-10Pogon SzczecinZaglebie LubinEkstraklasa0-2
2023-09-03Zaglebie LubinPogon SzczecinEkstraklasa1-0
2023-03-11Zaglebie LubinPogon SzczecinEkstraklasa0-1
2022-08-27Pogon SzczecinZaglebie LubinEkstraklasa3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.9%, draw 28.2%, away 34.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.50 3.40 2.66
1xBet 2.52 3.40 2.58
Bet365 2.55 3.20 2.60
BetVictor 2.50 3.20 2.60
Betano 2.55 3.25 2.70
Betfair 2.50 3.40 2.70
Dafabet 2.55 3.35 2.75
Marathonbet 2.52 3.40 2.58
Pinnacle 2.64 3.30 2.68
SBO 2.34 3.02 2.54
Superbet 2.55 3.25 2.72
Unibet 2.45 3.30 2.85
William Hill 2.62 3.20 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.52 ▲ +0.07
X 3.30 ▲ +0.05
2 2.66 ▼ -0.14

11 snapshots recorded, from .