Pogon Szczecin
vs
Wisla Krakow
2 – 2 Full time
Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow
| Probability | Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Wisla Krakow |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.9% | 26.9% | 25.2% |
| Market | 45.2% | 25.8% | 29.0% |
| Final | 45.9% | 26.0% | 28.0% |
| Edge | +2.7% | +1.1% | -3.8% |
Why Pogon Szczecin
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.13.
- The market prices Pogon Szczecin below the model: +2.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pogon Szczecin and Wisla Krakow expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.77
Pogon Szczecin and Wisla Krakow attack and defence ratings
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Krakow
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow: result vs prediction
Pogon Szczecin 2 – 2 Wisla Krakow
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Cracovia Krakow v Wieczysta Kraków — match page
- Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin — team news & stats
- Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa
- Slask Wroclaw v Widzew Łódź — match page
- Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin — team news & stats
- GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock
- Raków Częstochowa vs Gornik Zabrze — team news & stats
- Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia
Before and after this match
Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pogon Szczecin | 45.9% | 2.18 | +2.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pogon Szczecin | 45.9% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Wisla Krakow | 28.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.8% |
| No | 44.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pogon Szczecin win | 26.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 51.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 9.1% |
Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow stats
Pogon Szczecin and Wisla Krakow recent form
| Pogon Szczecin |
WWLDWL |
| Wisla Krakow |
LWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pogon Szczecin and Wisla Krakow going into this match
Pogon Szczecin record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Wisla Krakow record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.9%, draw 26.1%, away 29.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.44 | 3.45 | 2.70 |
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 3.44 | 3.45 |
| 888Sport | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.63 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.12 | 3.70 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 3.44 | 3.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05 | 3.65 | 3.60 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.41 | 2.97 |
| Superbet | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| Unibet | 2.17 | 3.40 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .