Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Łódź Prediction — 22 Aug 2026

Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Łódź overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Łódź

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Slask Wroclaw	Draw	Widzew Łódź
Model	47.1%	30.1%	22.8%
Market	33.2%	27.6%	39.2%
Final	36.7%	28.2%	35.1%
Edge	+13.9%	+2.4%	-16.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Slask Wroclaw

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.88.
The market prices Slask Wroclaw below the model: +13.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

88%

2+ goals

67%

3+ goals

39%

No goals

12%

Slask Wroclaw and Widzew Łódź expected goals

Slask Wroclaw

1.38

Widzew Łódź

0.88

Total expected goals: 2.26

Slask Wroclaw and Widzew Łódź attack and defence ratings

Slask Wroclaw

Attack

1.19 +19%

Defence

0.84 -16%

Widzew Łódź

Attack

0.90 -10%

Defence

0.73 -27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Łódź: result vs prediction

Slask Wroclaw 3 – 3 Widzew Łódź

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Ekstraklasa

Cracovia Krakow v Wieczysta Kraków — match page · 2026-08-21
Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin — team news & stats · 2026-08-22
Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa · 2026-08-22
Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin — team news & stats · 2026-08-23
GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock · 2026-08-23
Pogon Szczecin v Wisla Krakow — match page · 2026-08-23
Raków Częstochowa vs Gornik Zabrze — team news & stats · 2026-09-03
Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia · 2026-09-03

Before and after this match

Slask Wroclaw, previous: Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw: odds and pick
Slask Wroclaw, next: Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw prediction
Widzew Łódź, previous: Widzew Łódź – Korona Kielce, 2026-08-15
Widzew Łódź, next: Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan: odds and pick

Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Łódź markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Slask Wroclaw	36.7%	2.73	+13.9%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	60.6%	1.65	—	—
Both teams to score	No	54.8%	1.82	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	71.8%	1.39	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	52.9%	1.89	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Slask Wroclaw	36.7%
	Draw	28.2%
	Widzew Łódź	35.1%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	39.4%
	Under 2.5	60.6%
Both teams to score	Yes	45.2%
	No	54.8%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	64.9%
	12 (either side)	71.8%
	X2 (draw or away)	63.3%
Handicap -1	Slask Wroclaw win	23.3%
	Push (exactly one goal)	23.8%
	Loss	52.9%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.0%
	1-0	13.1%
	0-0	11.7%

Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Łódź stats

Slask Wroclaw and Widzew Łódź recent form

newest first

Slask Wroclaw	LDWLDW
Widzew Łódź	LWDDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Slask Wroclaw and Widzew Łódź going into this match

league record before kick-off

Slask Wroclaw record

They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

Widzew Łódź record

They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Łódź head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Łódź odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.2%, draw 27.6%, away 39.2%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.85	3.50	2.30
1xBet	2.82	3.38	2.37
888Sport	2.80	3.25	2.38
Bet365	2.80	3.30	2.30
BetVictor	2.75	3.30	2.30
Betano	2.82	3.35	2.40
Betfair	2.75	3.50	2.30
Dafabet	2.85	3.45	2.46
Marathonbet	2.80	3.38	2.35
Pinnacle	2.92	3.51	2.43
SBO	2.73	3.21	2.32
Superbet	2.80	3.35	2.42
Unibet	2.75	3.40	2.48
William Hill	2.80	3.25	2.38

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.80 —

X 3.37 ▼ -0.01

2 2.38 —

2 snapshots recorded, from 2026-08-22T08:43:07Z.