Widzew Łódź
vs
Lech Poznan
2 – 3 Full time
| 6′ | A. Kozubal | ||
| 22′ | A. Sayyadmanesh | ||
| 27′ | K. Swiderski | ||
| 45′ | Ángel Baena | ||
| 53′ | M. Fornalczyk | ||
| 68′ | Y. AgneroL. Palma | ||
| 70′ | Radosław Murawski | ||
| 70′ | E. KornvigG. Papanikolaou | ||
| 70′ | K. SwiderskiS. Bergier | ||
| 75′ | R. MurawskiG. Berggren | ||
| 75′ | P. RodriguezF. Jagiello | ||
| 81′ | M. FornalczykS. Biuk | ||
| 86′ | F. AlvarezA. Klukowski | ||
| 88′ | P. WalemarkW. Szymczak | ||
| 90′ | Luis Palma | ||
| 90′ | L. Palma |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 38 | Possession % | 62 |
| 7 | Corners | 9 |
| 7 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 6 | Saves | 5 |
| 212 | Accurate passes | 384 |
Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan
| Probability | Widzew Łódź | Draw | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.2% | 24.7% | 56.1% |
| Market | 32.3% | 25.6% | 42.1% |
| Final | 29.0% | 25.4% | 45.6% |
| Edge | -13.1% | -0.8% | +13.9% |
Why Lech Poznan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Lech Poznan below the model: +13.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Widzew Łódź and Lech Poznan expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.90
Widzew Łódź and Lech Poznan attack and defence ratings
Widzew Łódź
Lech Poznan
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan: result vs prediction
Widzew Łódź 2 – 3 Lech Poznan
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce — team news & stats
- Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw
- Radomiak Radom v Cracovia Krakow — match page
- Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice — team news & stats
- Wisla Krakow vs Wieczysta Kraków
- Zaglebie Lubin v Pogon Szczecin — match page
- Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia — team news & stats
- Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice
Before and after this match
Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lech Poznan | 45.6% | 2.19 | +13.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Widzew Łódź | 29.0% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Lech Poznan | 45.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.6% |
| No | 45.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lech Poznan win | 30.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 47.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 9.8% |
Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan stats
Widzew Łódź and Lech Poznan recent form
| Widzew Łódź |
DLWDDW |
| Lech Poznan |
DWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Widzew Łódź and Lech Poznan going into this match
Widzew Łódź record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lech Poznan record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Widzew Łódź | Lech Poznan | Ekstraklasa | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Lech Poznan | Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.3%, draw 25.6%, away 42.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.86 | 3.65 | 2.24 |
| 1xBet | 2.89 | 3.64 | 2.21 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 2.85 | 3.50 | 2.32 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.70 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.60 | 2.31 |
| Marathonbet | 2.88 | 3.64 | 2.19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.94 | 3.81 | 2.21 |
| SBO | 2.66 | 3.24 | 2.15 |
| Unibet | 2.90 | 3.65 | 2.23 |
| William Hill | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .