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Ekstraklasa · Full time ·Matchday 6

Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice

2 – 3 Full time

Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, ZabrzeReferee: Jaroslaw Przybyl, Poland

Gornik Zabrze 49%
Draw 25%
GKS Katowice 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGornik ZabrzeDrawGKS Katowice
Model41.3%26.4%32.3%
Market50.9%24.9%24.2%
Final48.5%25.2%26.2%
Edge-9.6%+1.6%+8.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gornik Zabrze ↓ / GKS Katowice → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 11% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Gornik Zabrze and GKS Katowice expected goals

Gornik Zabrze 1.54
GKS Katowice 1.74

Total expected goals: 3.28

Gornik Zabrze and GKS Katowice attack and defence ratings

Gornik Zabrze

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.11 +11%

GKS Katowice

Attack 1.34 +34%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice: result vs prediction

Gornik Zabrze 2 – 3 GKS Katowice

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Ekstraklasa

Before and after this match

Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gornik Zabrze 48.5% 2.06 -9.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.6% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.1% 1.64 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.8% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.5% 1.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gornik Zabrze48.5%
Draw25.2%
GKS Katowice26.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.6%
Under 2.542.4%
Both teams to scoreYes61.1%
No38.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.8%
12 (either side)74.8%
X2 (draw or away)51.5%
Handicap -1Gornik Zabrze win16.5%
Push (exactly one goal)17.0%
Loss66.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.3%
2-18.9%
1-27.8%

Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice stats

Gornik Zabrze and GKS Katowice recent form

newest first
Gornik Zabrze LLWDWL
GKS Katowice WLWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gornik Zabrze and GKS Katowice going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gornik Zabrze record

  • They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

GKS Katowice record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.

Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Gornik Zabrze wins 0Draws 1GKS Katowice wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-28GKS KatowiceGornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa3-1
2025-08-23Gornik ZabrzeGKS KatowiceEkstraklasa3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.9%, draw 24.9%, away 24.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.84 3.85 3.75
1xBet 1.80 3.85 3.87
BetVictor 1.80 3.70 3.70
Betano 1.83 3.75 3.90
Betfair 1.85 3.90 3.80
Dafabet 1.91 3.75 3.85
Marathonbet 1.78 3.85 3.88
Pinnacle 1.83 3.85 3.98
SBO 1.85 3.28 3.29
Unibet 1.83 3.70 4.00
William Hill 1.85 3.50 3.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.83 —
X 3.75 ▼ -0.10
2 3.85 ▼ -0.02

10 snapshots recorded, from .