Ekstraklasa · Full time ·Matchday 5

GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock

5 – 0 Full time

Stadion miejski w Katowicach, KatowiceReferee: Tomasz Kwiatkowski, Poland

GKS Katowice 51%
Draw 25%
Wisla Plock 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock overview

Garuda Lions analysis: GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGKS KatowiceDrawWisla Plock
Model61.0%23.7%15.3%
Market47.7%25.8%26.4%
Final51.0%25.3%23.7%
Edge+13.2%-2.1%-11.1%

Confidence: Low

Why GKS Katowice

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 0.86.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices GKS Katowice below the model: +13.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

GKS Katowice ↓ / Wisla Plock → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 11% 11% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 7%

GKS Katowice and Wisla Plock expected goals

GKS Katowice 1.91
Wisla Plock 0.86

Total expected goals: 2.77

GKS Katowice and Wisla Plock attack and defence ratings

GKS Katowice

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Wisla Plock

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock: result vs prediction

GKS Katowice 5 – 0 Wisla Plock

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Ekstraklasa

Before and after this match

GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 GKS Katowice 51.0% 1.96 +13.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.3% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.2% 1.99 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.3% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.0% 2.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2GKS Katowice51.0%
Draw25.3%
Wisla Plock23.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.3%
Under 2.547.7%
Both teams to scoreYes50.2%
No49.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.3%
12 (either side)74.7%
X2 (draw or away)49.0%
Handicap -1GKS Katowice win37.2%
Push (exactly one goal)23.8%
Loss39.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.4%
1-111.3%
1-010.9%

GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock stats

GKS Katowice and Wisla Plock recent form

newest first
GKS Katowice LWLWWL
Wisla Plock LDWDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

GKS Katowice and Wisla Plock going into this match

league record before kick-off

GKS Katowice record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.

Wisla Plock record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2GKS Katowice wins 1Draws 0Wisla Plock wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-04GKS KatowiceWisla PlockEkstraklasa1-0
2025-09-26Wisla PlockGKS KatowiceEkstraklasa1-1
2025-09-23GKS KatowiceWisla PlockPoland Cup4-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.9%, draw 25.8%, away 26.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.84 3.80 3.80
1xBet 1.95 3.60 3.54
888Sport 1.91 3.40 3.60
Bet365 1.91 3.60 3.50
BetVictor 1.91 3.60 3.40
Betano 1.95 3.60 3.55
Betfair 1.91 3.80 3.50
Dafabet 2.00 3.70 3.60
Marathonbet 1.93 3.60 3.54
Pinnacle 2.01 3.71 3.65
SBO 1.97 3.39 3.26
Superbet 1.97 3.60 3.50
Unibet 1.79 3.60 3.95
William Hill 1.95 3.40 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.95 ▲ +0.05
X 3.60 ▼ -0.02
2 3.52 ▼ -0.16

3 snapshots recorded, from .