Wisla Plock
vs
Korona Kielce
0 – 2 Full time
Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce
| Probability | Wisla Plock | Draw | Korona Kielce |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.2% | 31.6% | 42.2% |
| Market | 34.7% | 28.4% | 36.8% |
| Final | 32.6% | 29.2% | 38.2% |
| Edge | -8.6% | +3.2% | +5.4% |
Why Korona Kielce
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.24 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Korona Kielce below the model: +5.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wisla Plock and Korona Kielce expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.16
Wisla Plock and Korona Kielce attack and defence ratings
Wisla Plock
Korona Kielce
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce: result vs prediction
Wisla Plock 0 – 2 Korona Kielce
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw
- Radomiak Radom v Cracovia Krakow — match page
- Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice — team news & stats
- Wisla Krakow vs Wieczysta Kraków
- Zaglebie Lubin v Pogon Szczecin — match page
- Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia — team news & stats
- Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice
- Widzew Łódź v Lech Poznan — match page
Before and after this match
Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Korona Kielce | 38.2% | 2.62 | +5.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wisla Plock | 32.6% |
| Draw | 29.2% | |
| Korona Kielce | 38.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.1% |
| No | 55.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Korona Kielce win | 19.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 57.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-1 | 13.0% | |
| 0-0 | 12.8% |
Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce stats
Wisla Plock and Korona Kielce recent form
| Wisla Plock |
LLDWDL |
| Korona Kielce |
DWDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wisla Plock and Korona Kielce going into this match
Wisla Plock record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Korona Kielce record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-08 | Korona Kielce | Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-19 | Wisla Plock | Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa | 2-0 |
| 2023-03-04 | Korona Kielce | Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-20 | Wisla Plock | Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa | 2-1 |
| 2022-07-08 | Korona Kielce | Wisla Plock | Friendlies Clubs | 0-2 |
| 2021-09-22 | Korona Kielce | Wisla Plock | Cup | 4-3 |
| 2020-07-14 | Wisla Plock | Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa | 3-1 |
| 2020-05-31 | Wisla Plock | Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa | 1-4 |
| 2019-10-19 | Korona Kielce | Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa | 0-1 |
| 2019-04-25 | Wisla Plock | Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.7%, draw 28.4%, away 36.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.66 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| 1xBet | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.51 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.72 | 3.20 | 2.57 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.51 |
| Pinnacle | 2.75 | 3.27 | 2.59 |
| SBO | 2.54 | 2.98 | 2.37 |
| Superbet | 2.72 | 3.20 | 2.57 |
| Unibet | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.70 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .