Poland Cup · Full time ·Round of 64

Luzino vs Wisla Plock

2 – 3 Full time

6′M. Koscielecki
24′L. Sekulski
45′L. Sekulski
46′O. PawlowskiP. Kostuch
46′S. WeremkoN. Kitowski
55′S. TavaresK. Pomorski
60′J. KrefftD. Konkol
60′K. Pomorski
64′L. SekulskiS. Hamulic
64′A. RadwanskiG. Kuchko
64′R. Zietarski
70′P. KurbielJ. Marosi
74′O. Kobacki
77′M. KoscieleckiP. Kun
82′M. Wieckowski
82′R. ZietarskiS. Skurat
90′P. Kostuch

Stadion GOSRiT

Luzino 26%
Draw 21%
Wisla Plock 53%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Luzino vs Wisla Plock overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Luzino vs Wisla Plock

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLuzinoDrawWisla Plock
Model58.5%24.6%16.9%
Market15.3%19.5%65.2%
Final26.1%20.7%53.1%
Edge+43.2%+5.1%-48.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Luzino ↓ / Wisla Plock → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 11% 12% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

Luzino and Wisla Plock expected goals

Luzino 1.84
Wisla Plock 0.90

Total expected goals: 2.74

Luzino and Wisla Plock attack and defence ratings

Luzino

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Wisla Plock

Attack 0.60 -40%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Luzino vs Wisla Plock: result vs prediction

Luzino 2 – 3 Wisla Plock

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Poland Cup

Before and after this match

Luzino vs Wisla Plock markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wisla Plock 53.1% 1.88 -48.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.6% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.9% 1.96 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 79.3% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 83.1% 1.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Luzino26.1%
Draw20.7%
Wisla Plock53.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.6%
Under 2.548.4%
Both teams to scoreYes50.9%
No49.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)46.9%
12 (either side)79.3%
X2 (draw or away)73.9%
Handicap -1Wisla Plock win5.8%
Push (exactly one goal)11.0%
Loss83.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.8%
2-011.0%
1-010.8%

Luzino vs Wisla Plock stats

Luzino and Wisla Plock recent form

newest first
Luzino no matches on record
Wisla Plock LLLDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Luzino vs Wisla Plock head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Luzino vs Wisla Plock odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 15.3%, draw 19.5%, away 65.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 5.50 4.33 1.40
1xBet 5.85 4.75 1.39
Bet365 5.50 4.20 1.44
BetVictor 6.00 4.60 1.40
Betano 6.00 4.55 1.38
Betfair 6.00 4.60 1.36
Dafabet 6.00 4.90 1.43
Marathonbet 5.65 4.75 1.38
Pinnacle 4.37 4.80 1.45
Superbet 6.30 5.10 1.35
Unibet 6.00 4.80 1.36
William Hill 5.80 4.40 1.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.92 ▼ -0.78
X 4.67 ▼ -0.33
2 1.40 ▲ +0.05

5 snapshots recorded, from .