Ekstraklasa
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Pogon Szczecin
vs
Wisla Plock
1 – 1 Full time
| 31′ | J. JimenezO. Kobacki | ||
| 52′ | J. Bieganski | ||
| 59′ | N. LawaJ. Nsame | ||
| 60′ | M. Haglind-Sangre | ||
| 70′ | L. SekulskiM. Koscielecki | ||
| 71′ | Patryk Dziczek | ||
| 73′ | M. WojciechowskiJ. Czaplinski | ||
| 74′ | J. BieganskiK. Acosta | ||
| 78′ | Sidnei Tavares | ||
| 83′ | Valentin Cojocaru | ||
| 84′ | Marcus Haglind Sangre | ||
| 85′ | H. AliA. Szalai | ||
| 85′ | D. ChurlinovM. Juwara | ||
| 90′ | Lukas Willen | ||
| 90′ | Patryk Kun |
Pogon Szczecin
53%
Draw
25%
Wisla Plock
22%
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 2 |
| 434 | Accurate passes | 296 |
Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock
| Probability | Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Wisla Plock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.6% | 22.1% | 12.4% |
| Market | 49.1% | 25.7% | 25.2% |
| Final | 53.2% | 24.8% | 22.0% |
| Edge | +16.5% | -3.7% | -12.8% |
Why Pogon Szczecin
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 0.77.
- The market prices Pogon Szczecin below the model: +16.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
53%
No goals
7%
Pogon Szczecin and Wisla Plock expected goals
Pogon Szczecin
2.02
Wisla Plock
0.77
Total expected goals: 2.79
Pogon Szczecin and Wisla Plock attack and defence ratings
Pogon Szczecin
Attack
0.98 -2%
Defence
0.85 -15%
Wisla Plock
Attack
0.77 -23%
Defence
1.31 +31%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock: result vs prediction
Pogon Szczecin 1 – 1 Wisla Plock
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Piast Gliwice v GKS Katowice — match page
- Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom — team news & stats
- Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow
- Motor Lublin v Legia Warszawa — match page
- Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze — team news & stats
- Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa
- Jagiellonia v Slask Wroclaw — match page
- Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pogon Szczecin | 53.2% | 1.88 | +16.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Pogon Szczecin win | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pogon Szczecin | 53.2% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Wisla Plock | 22.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.6% |
| No | 52.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pogon Szczecin win | 41.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 34.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.5% |
| 1-0 | 11.4% | |
| 1-1 | 10.5% |
Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock stats
Pogon Szczecin and Wisla Plock recent form
| Pogon Szczecin |
LDDWWL |
| Wisla Plock |
WLLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pogon Szczecin and Wisla Plock going into this match
Pogon Szczecin record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Wisla Plock record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Pogon Szczecin wins
3Draws
3Wisla Plock wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Pogon Szczecin | Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Wisla Plock | Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa | 2-0 |
| 2023-02-26 | Wisla Plock | Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa | 0-1 |
| 2022-08-13 | Pogon Szczecin | Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa | 2-2 |
| 2022-04-08 | Pogon Szczecin | Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa | 1-2 |
| 2021-10-17 | Wisla Plock | Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
| 2021-04-10 | Pogon Szczecin | Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa | 2-0 |
| 2020-12-02 | Wisla Plock | Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa | 0-0 |
| 2020-11-20 | Wisla Plock | Pogon Szczecin | Cup | 1-1 |
| 2020-02-09 | Wisla Plock | Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.1%, draw 25.7%, away 25.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.65 | 3.70 |
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 3.62 | 3.68 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.55 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.95 | 3.65 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 3.62 | 3.68 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 3.75 | 3.86 |
| SBO | 1.93 | 3.31 | 3.47 |
| Superbet | 1.95 | 3.55 | 3.70 |
| Unibet | 1.80 | 3.65 | 4.25 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.90 —
X
3.62 —
2
3.70 ▼ -0.06
14 snapshots recorded, from .