Ekstraklasa · 2026-09-13T10:15:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 8

Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow

3 – 1 Full time

10′			Patryk Kun
20′			Dominik Baumgartner
51′			Martin Minchev
58′			Dominik Baumgartner
61′			Sebastian Madejski
62′			Olaf KobackiSamuel Akere
65′			Martin MinchevGustav Henriksson
65′			Mateusz KlichWiktor Dej
66′			Lasse Selvåg NordåsMohamed Berte
69′			Mohamed Berte
70′			Samuel Akere
71′			Otar KakabadzeDominik Pila
72′			Łukasz SekulskiSaid Hamulic
81′			Sidnei·TavaresKyriakos Savvidis
81′			Dion GallapeniFabian Hiszpański
81′			Patryk KunJurica Pršir
82′			Ajdin HasićKahveh Zahiroleslam
90′			Dominik Pila

Orlen Stadion, PlockReferee: Paweł Raczkowski, Poland

Wisla Plock

35%

Draw

29%

Cracovia Krakow

36%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

16	Shots	8
5	Shots on target	1
51	Possession %	49
3	Corners	4
11	Fouls	14
1	Offsides	0
0	Saves	3
393	Accurate passes	375

Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Wisla Plock	Draw	Cracovia Krakow
Model	33.7%	31.1%	35.2%
Market	35.8%	28.3%	35.9%
Final	35.3%	29.0%	35.8%
Edge	-2.1%	+2.8%	-0.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Cracovia Krakow

Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

89%

2+ goals

68%

3+ goals

40%

No goals

11%

Wisla Plock and Cracovia Krakow expected goals

Wisla Plock

1.13

Cracovia Krakow

1.16

Total expected goals: 2.29

Wisla Plock and Cracovia Krakow attack and defence ratings

Wisla Plock

Attack

0.76 -24%

Defence

1.26 +26%

Cracovia Krakow

Attack

0.78 -22%

Defence

0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow: result vs prediction

Wisla Plock 3 – 1 Cracovia Krakow

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Ekstraklasa

Raków Częstochowa v Motor Lublin — match page · 2026-09-11
Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia — team news & stats · 2026-09-11
Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce · 2026-09-12
Gornik Zabrze v Lech Poznan — match page · 2026-09-12
Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Pogon Szczecin v Wieczysta Kraków — match page · 2026-09-13
Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź — team news & stats · 2026-09-13
Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice · 2026-09-14

Before and after this match

Wisla Plock, previous: Pogon Szczecin v Wisla Plock analysis
Wisla Plock, next: Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock prediction
Cracovia Krakow, previous: Cracovia Krakow v Gornik Zabrze analysis
Cracovia Krakow, next: GKS Katowice – Cracovia Krakow, 2026-09-19

Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Cracovia Krakow	35.8%	2.80	-0.7%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	59.8%	1.67	—	—
Both teams to score	No	52.2%	1.92	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	71.0%	1.41	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	64.8%	1.54	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Wisla Plock	35.3%
	Draw	29.0%
	Cracovia Krakow	35.8%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	40.2%
	Under 2.5	59.8%
Both teams to score	Yes	47.8%
	No	52.2%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	64.2%
	12 (either side)	71.0%
	X2 (draw or away)	64.7%
Handicap -1	Cracovia Krakow win	15.2%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.0%
	Loss	64.8%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.6%
	0-0	11.4%
	0-1	10.4%

Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow stats

Wisla Plock and Cracovia Krakow recent form

newest first

Wisla Plock	DWLLLD
Cracovia Krakow	LDLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Wisla Plock and Cracovia Krakow going into this match

league record before kick-off

Wisla Plock record

They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cracovia Krakow record

They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Wisla Plock wins 3Draws 4Cracovia Krakow wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-03-14	Cracovia Krakow	Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa	1-2
2025-12-04	Wisla Plock	Cracovia Krakow	Ekstraklasa	0-0
2023-05-27	Cracovia Krakow	Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa	3-0
2022-11-11	Wisla Plock	Cracovia Krakow	Ekstraklasa	1-0
2022-05-13	Cracovia Krakow	Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa	3-0
2021-11-28	Wisla Plock	Cracovia Krakow	Ekstraklasa	2-1
2021-04-21	Cracovia Krakow	Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa	1-0
2020-11-27	Wisla Plock	Cracovia Krakow	Ekstraklasa	0-1
2020-06-14	Cracovia Krakow	Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa	1-1
2019-11-09	Wisla Plock	Cracovia Krakow	Ekstraklasa	0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.8%, draw 28.3%, away 35.9%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.64	3.50	2.48
1xBet	2.59	3.28	2.58
Bet365	2.60	3.40	2.60
BetVictor	2.55	3.25	2.55
Betano	2.57	3.30	2.62
Betfair	2.50	3.40	2.63
Dafabet	2.65	3.25	2.60
Marathonbet	2.59	3.28	2.58
Pinnacle	2.69	3.43	2.67
SBO	2.33	3.04	2.54
Unibet	2.63	3.25	2.70
William Hill	2.60	3.20	2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.59 ▼ -0.02

X 3.28 ▲ +0.08

2 2.58 ▼ -0.03

14 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-06T16:10:02Z.