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Ekstraklasa · Full time ·Matchday 8

Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice

0 – 2 Full time

13′Jakub Lewicki
45′Hugo Vallejo
45′Jakub Lewickifilip borowski
45′Rafał WolskiIbrahima Camará
46′Jakub Czerwiński
55′Filip Koperski
59′Abdoul TapsobaChe Nunnely
67′Jakub Labojko
70′Jakub LabojkoOskar·Lesniak
70′Ivan LimaSzczepan·Mucha
72′Christos DonisBi Irié Fernand Gouré
83′Lucas Lima Linhareskacper karasek
83′Ronaldo LumungoManu
84′Quentin BoisgardOliwier Maziarz
89′Samuel Ntamack NdimbaAndreas Katsantonis

Stadion im. Braci Czachorów, RadomReferee: Tomasz Marciniak, Poland

Radomiak Radom 37%
Draw 27%
Piast Gliwice 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

23 Shots 14
9 Shots on target 4
47 Possession % 53
14 Corners 4
13 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 2
2 Saves 8
280 Accurate passes 361

Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRadomiak RadomDrawPiast Gliwice
Model27.6%26.8%45.6%
Market39.5%26.6%33.9%
Final36.5%26.7%36.8%
Edge-11.8%+0.1%+11.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Piast Gliwice

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.22.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Piast Gliwice below the model: +11.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Radomiak Radom ↓ / Piast Gliwice → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 8% 1 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Radomiak Radom and Piast Gliwice expected goals

Radomiak Radom 1.22
Piast Gliwice 1.63

Total expected goals: 2.85

Radomiak Radom and Piast Gliwice attack and defence ratings

Radomiak Radom

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Piast Gliwice

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice: result vs prediction

Radomiak Radom 0 – 2 Piast Gliwice

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Ekstraklasa

Before and after this match

Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Piast Gliwice 36.8% 2.72 +11.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.2% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.9% 1.73 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.3% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.4% 1.84 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Radomiak Radom36.5%
Draw26.7%
Piast Gliwice36.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.2%
Under 2.545.8%
Both teams to scoreYes57.9%
No42.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.2%
12 (either side)73.3%
X2 (draw or away)63.5%
Handicap -1Piast Gliwice win24.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.3%
Loss54.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.7%
1-29.4%
0-18.3%

Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice stats

Radomiak Radom and Piast Gliwice recent form

newest first
Radomiak Radom DWWDLL
Piast Gliwice WWWDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Radomiak Radom and Piast Gliwice going into this match

league record before kick-off

Radomiak Radom record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Piast Gliwice record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Radomiak Radom wins 5Draws 2Piast Gliwice wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-20Piast GliwiceRadomiak RadomEkstraklasa3-1
2025-09-20Radomiak RadomPiast GliwiceEkstraklasa1-0
2025-05-04Piast GliwiceRadomiak RadomEkstraklasa0-0
2024-11-03Radomiak RadomPiast GliwiceEkstraklasa1-1
2024-03-08Piast GliwiceRadomiak RadomEkstraklasa2-3
2023-09-02Radomiak RadomPiast GliwiceEkstraklasa1-1
2023-05-06Radomiak RadomPiast GliwiceEkstraklasa0-1
2022-10-24Piast GliwiceRadomiak RadomEkstraklasa1-2
2022-05-21Piast GliwiceRadomiak RadomEkstraklasa1-1
2021-12-14Radomiak RadomPiast GliwiceEkstraklasa2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.5%, draw 26.6%, away 33.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.30 3.60 2.80
1xBet 2.36 3.44 2.74
888Sport 2.30 3.25 2.80
Bet365 2.38 3.50 2.75
BetVictor 2.30 3.50 2.70
Betano 2.37 3.50 2.77
Betfair 2.30 3.60 2.80
Dafabet 2.39 3.60 2.85
Marathonbet 2.36 3.44 2.74
Pinnacle 2.42 3.58 2.88
SBO 2.20 3.20 2.60
Unibet 2.38 3.55 2.75
William Hill 2.30 3.30 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.36 ▲ +0.02
X 3.50 ▲ +0.03
2 2.75 ▼ -0.02

14 snapshots recorded, from .