Ekstraklasa
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Legia Warszawa
vs
Widzew Łódź
1 – 1 Full time
| 19′ | Rafał Augustyniak | ||
| 21′ | Kamil Piątkowski | ||
| 44′ | Karol Świderski | ||
| 55′ | mariusz fornalczyk | ||
| 62′ | Mateusz SzczepaniakRafal Adamski | ||
| 65′ | Fran AlvarezDani Silva | ||
| 65′ | Marcel KrajewskiMateusz Żyro | ||
| 73′ | Michal SevcikJakub Zewlakow | ||
| 74′ | Jan KuchtaBogdan V'Yunnik | ||
| 74′ | Karol ŚwiderskiSebastian Bergier | ||
| 74′ | Bartosz KapustkaDamian Szymański | ||
| 84′ | Stipe BiukAntoni Klukowski | ||
| 88′ | Kamil PiątkowskiArkadiusz Reca | ||
| 90′ | Rúben Vinagre | ||
| 90′ | Antoni Klukowski |
Legia Warszawa
52%
Draw
27%
Widzew Łódź
21%
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 50 | Possession % | 50 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 318 | Accurate passes | 331 |
Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź
| Probability | Legia Warszawa | Draw | Widzew Łódź |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.1% | 25.5% | 18.5% |
| Market | 51.0% | 27.0% | 22.1% |
| Final | 52.2% | 26.6% | 21.2% |
| Edge | +5.1% | -1.5% | -3.6% |
Why Legia Warszawa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Legia Warszawa below the model: +5.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
51%
No goals
8%
Legia Warszawa and Widzew Łódź expected goals
Legia Warszawa
1.77
Widzew Łódź
0.93
Total expected goals: 2.70
Legia Warszawa and Widzew Łódź attack and defence ratings
Legia Warszawa
Attack
1.22 +22%
Defence
0.87 -13%
Widzew Łódź
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź: result vs prediction
Legia Warszawa 1 – 1 Widzew Łódź
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Raków Częstochowa v Motor Lublin — match page
- Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia — team news & stats
- Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce
- Gornik Zabrze v Lech Poznan — match page
- Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice — team news & stats
- Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow
- Pogon Szczecin v Wieczysta Kraków — match page
- Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice
Before and after this match
Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Legia Warszawa | 52.2% | 1.91 | +5.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Legia Warszawa | 52.2% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Widzew Łódź | 21.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.4% |
| No | 48.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Legia Warszawa win | 32.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 43.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 1-0 | 10.8% | |
| 2-0 | 10.5% |
Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź stats
Legia Warszawa and Widzew Łódź recent form
| Legia Warszawa |
WLDDWD |
| Widzew Łódź |
DLLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Legia Warszawa and Widzew Łódź going into this match
Legia Warszawa record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
Widzew Łódź record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
6Legia Warszawa wins
2Draws
2Widzew Łódź wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Legia Warszawa | Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Widzew Łódź | Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-15 | Widzew Łódź | Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa | 0-2 |
| 2024-11-03 | Legia Warszawa | Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa | 2-1 |
| 2024-07-12 | Legia Warszawa | Widzew Łódź | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2024-03-10 | Widzew Łódź | Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
| 2023-09-03 | Legia Warszawa | Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa | 3-1 |
| 2023-02-24 | Legia Warszawa | Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa | 2-2 |
| 2022-08-12 | Widzew Łódź | Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa | 1-2 |
| 2022-03-26 | Legia Warszawa | Widzew Łódź | Friendlies Clubs | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.5%, draw 26.9%, away 22.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.84 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 3.44 | 4.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.45 | 4.35 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.82 | 3.44 | 4.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.57 | 4.37 |
| SBO | 1.87 | 3.10 | 3.42 |
| Unibet | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.95 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.82 ▼ -0.03
X
3.44 ▼ -0.10
2
4.20 ▲ +0.23
13 snapshots recorded, from .