Ekstraklasa
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Jagiellonia
vs
Legia Warszawa
1 – 3 Full time
| 15′ | Rafał Augustyniak | ||
| 20′ | Nik Prelec | ||
| 35′ | Jesús Imaz | ||
| 45′ | Rúben VinagreArkadiusz Reca | ||
| 57′ | Jan KuchtaLukasz Zjawinski | ||
| 57′ | Mateusz SzczepaniakJakub Zewlakow | ||
| 57′ | Michal SevcikRafal Adamski | ||
| 65′ | Norbert WojtuszekJeremy Agbonifo | ||
| 65′ | Ferslev Anders KlyngeSergio Lozano | ||
| 75′ | Paweł Wszołek | ||
| 84′ | Kajetan·SzmytAleksandar·Cirkovic | ||
| 84′ | Nik PrelecDimitris Rallis | ||
| 86′ | Rafal Adamski | ||
| 87′ | Paweł WszołekKacper Chodyna | ||
| 90′ | Eryk KozlowskiDawid Drachal |
Jagiellonia
36%
Draw
27%
Legia Warszawa
37%
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 68 | Possession % | 32 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 450 | Accurate passes | 172 |
Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa
| Probability | Jagiellonia | Draw | Legia Warszawa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.2% | 26.6% | 31.2% |
| Market | 33.6% | 27.2% | 39.3% |
| Final | 35.7% | 27.0% | 37.3% |
| Edge | +8.6% | -0.5% | -8.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
56%
No goals
6%
Jagiellonia and Legia Warszawa expected goals
Jagiellonia
1.59
Legia Warszawa
1.35
Total expected goals: 2.95
Jagiellonia and Legia Warszawa attack and defence ratings
Jagiellonia
Attack
1.17 +17%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Legia Warszawa
Attack
1.17 +17%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa: result vs prediction
Jagiellonia 1 – 3 Legia Warszawa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Widzew Łódź vs Wieczysta Kraków
- Wisla Krakow v Slask Wroclaw — match page
- Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa — team news & stats
- GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow
- Motor Lublin v Gornik Zabrze — match page
- Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin — team news & stats
- Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock
- Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Legia Warszawa | 37.3% | 2.68 | -8.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jagiellonia | 35.7% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Legia Warszawa | 37.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.2% |
| No | 39.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Legia Warszawa win | 14.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.0% | |
| Loss | 68.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.6% |
Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa stats
Jagiellonia and Legia Warszawa recent form
| Jagiellonia |
LLWLWW |
| Legia Warszawa |
DWLDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Jagiellonia and Legia Warszawa going into this match
Jagiellonia record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 67% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Legia Warszawa record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Jagiellonia wins
4Draws
4Legia Warszawa wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Jagiellonia | Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-24 | Legia Warszawa | Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Legia Warszawa | Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-26 | Legia Warszawa | Jagiellonia | Cup | 3-1 |
| 2024-10-06 | Jagiellonia | Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa | 1-1 |
| 2024-07-06 | Legia Warszawa | Jagiellonia | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
| 2024-04-07 | Legia Warszawa | Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-01 | Jagiellonia | Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa | 2-0 |
| 2023-05-12 | Legia Warszawa | Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa | 5-1 |
| 2022-10-29 | Jagiellonia | Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa | 2-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.6%, draw 27.2%, away 39.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.75 | 3.32 | 2.38 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.85 | 3.45 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.75 | 3.32 | 2.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.85 | 3.49 | 2.49 |
| SBO | 2.69 | 3.25 | 2.32 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.75 ▲ +0.10
X
3.40 ▼ -0.03
2
2.35 ▼ -0.11
13 snapshots recorded, from .