Ekstraklasa · Full time ·Matchday 9

Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze

0 – 0 Full time

22′Ivo Rodrigues
34′Ivo RodriguesMateusz Legowski
35′Mariusz Misiura
48′Rafał Janicki
53′Janis Antiste
63′Janis AntisteErik Prekop
71′Kacper UrbanskiPaulo Bernardo
72′Mbaye Jacques NdiayeRony Lopes
72′Makan AikoFabio Ronaldo Costa Conceicao
82′Maksym KhlanZeidane Inoussa
83′Peter Federico González CarmonaYvan Ikia Dimi
90′Yvan Ikia Dimi
90′Marek Kristian Bartos
90′Kamil LukoszekPaskal Konrad Meyer

Motor Lublin Arena, LublinReferee: Pawel Malec

Motor Lublin 30%
Draw 26%
Gornik Zabrze 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 2
46 Possession % 54
2 Corners 3
15 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 4
2 Saves 3
301 Accurate passes 365

Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMotor LublinDrawGornik Zabrze
Model33.4%25.0%41.6%
Market28.4%26.6%45.0%
Final29.7%26.2%44.1%
Edge+5.0%-1.6%-3.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Gornik Zabrze

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Motor Lublin ↓ / Gornik Zabrze → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 11% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Motor Lublin and Gornik Zabrze expected goals

Motor Lublin 1.54
Gornik Zabrze 1.73

Total expected goals: 3.27

Motor Lublin and Gornik Zabrze attack and defence ratings

Motor Lublin

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Gornik Zabrze

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze: result vs prediction

Motor Lublin 0 – 0 Gornik Zabrze

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Ekstraklasa

Before and after this match

Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gornik Zabrze 44.1% 2.27 -3.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.6% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.8% 1.52 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.8% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.5% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Motor Lublin29.7%
Draw26.2%
Gornik Zabrze44.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.6%
Under 2.536.4%
Both teams to scoreYes65.8%
No34.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.9%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)70.3%
Handicap -1Gornik Zabrze win22.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.2%
Loss58.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.1%
1-28.8%
2-17.8%

Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze stats

Motor Lublin and Gornik Zabrze recent form

newest first
Motor Lublin LLWLDW
Gornik Zabrze WWWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Motor Lublin and Gornik Zabrze going into this match

league record before kick-off

Motor Lublin record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gornik Zabrze record

  • They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Motor Lublin wins 1Draws 1Gornik Zabrze wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-08Motor LublinGornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa0-0
2025-08-30Gornik ZabrzeMotor LublinEkstraklasa0-1
2025-03-15Gornik ZabrzeMotor LublinEkstraklasa4-0
2024-09-13Motor LublinGornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 28.7%, draw 26.4%, away 44.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.24 3.48 2.07
Bet365 3.30 3.30 2.05
BetVictor 3.13 3.50 2.05
Betano 3.10 3.50 2.15
Betfair 3.10 3.80 2.00
Marathonbet 3.25 3.46 2.04
Pinnacle 3.39 3.67 2.12
SBO 2.90 3.15 2.05
William Hill 3.20 3.40 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.25 ▲ +0.40
X 3.47 ▼ -0.09
2 2.05 ▼ -0.20

13 snapshots recorded, from .