Motor Lublin
vs
Piast Gliwice
0 – 2 Full time
Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice
| Probability | Motor Lublin | Draw | Piast Gliwice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.9% | 22.9% | 25.3% |
| Market | 40.3% | 26.4% | 33.3% |
| Final | 43.2% | 25.5% | 31.3% |
| Edge | +11.6% | -3.5% | -8.0% |
Why Motor Lublin
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 1.43.
- The market prices Motor Lublin below the model: +11.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Motor Lublin and Piast Gliwice expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.52
Motor Lublin and Piast Gliwice attack and defence ratings
Motor Lublin
Piast Gliwice
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice: result vs prediction
Motor Lublin 0 – 2 Piast Gliwice
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce — team news & stats
- Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw
- Radomiak Radom v Cracovia Krakow — match page
- Wisla Krakow vs Wieczysta Kraków
- Zaglebie Lubin v Pogon Szczecin — match page
- Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia — team news & stats
- Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice
- Widzew Łódź v Lech Poznan — match page
Before and after this match
Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Motor Lublin | 43.2% | 2.32 | +11.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Motor Lublin | 43.2% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Piast Gliwice | 31.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.5% |
| No | 32.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Motor Lublin win | 31.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 48.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 2-2 | 6.6% |
Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice stats
Motor Lublin and Piast Gliwice recent form
| Motor Lublin |
DWLLDL |
| Piast Gliwice |
DLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Motor Lublin and Piast Gliwice going into this match
Motor Lublin record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Piast Gliwice record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | Piast Gliwice | Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Motor Lublin | Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-09 | Motor Lublin | Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa | 1-4 |
| 2024-11-08 | Piast Gliwice | Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.3%, draw 26.4%, away 33.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.28 | 3.65 | 2.78 |
| 1xBet | 2.31 | 3.56 | 2.78 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.40 | 3.45 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.75 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.41 | 3.55 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.29 | 3.56 | 2.76 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37 | 3.51 | 2.87 |
| SBO | 2.18 | 3.18 | 2.64 |
| Superbet | 2.37 | 3.45 | 2.80 |
| Unibet | 2.38 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .