Poland Cup · Full time ·Round of 64

Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce

0 – 1 Full time

60′M. RemacleO. Lingr
63′S. BiukK. Swiderski
64′L. SelahiG. Papanikolaou
71′M. PieczekK. Matuszewski
71′S. DavidovicK. Ciszek
71′M. StepinskiD. Bak
73′D. Bak
76′G. Papanikolaou
81′E. KornvigD. Males
81′M. FassbenderK. Sotiriou
Widzew Łódź 33%
Draw 31%
Korona Kielce 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWidzew ŁódźDrawKorona Kielce
Model32.6%31.3%36.1%
Market———
Final32.6%31.3%36.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Korona Kielce

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Widzew Łódź ↓ / Korona Kielce → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 11% 7% 1 10% 15% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Widzew Łódź and Korona Kielce expected goals

Widzew Łódź 1.07
Korona Kielce 1.20

Total expected goals: 2.27

Widzew Łódź and Korona Kielce attack and defence ratings

Widzew Łódź

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Korona Kielce

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce: result vs prediction

Widzew Łódź 0 – 1 Korona Kielce

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Poland Cup

Before and after this match

Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Korona Kielce 36.1% 2.77 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.6% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score No 52.8% 1.89 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 68.7% 1.46 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.4% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Widzew Łódź32.6%
Draw31.3%
Korona Kielce36.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.4%
Under 2.560.6%
Both teams to scoreYes47.2%
No52.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.9%
12 (either side)68.7%
X2 (draw or away)67.4%
Handicap -1Korona Kielce win16.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss62.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.6%
0-011.7%
0-110.8%

Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce stats

Widzew Łódź and Korona Kielce recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Widzew Łódź wins 1Draws 7Korona Kielce wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-15Widzew ŁódźKorona KielceEkstraklasa1-2
2026-05-15Korona KielceWidzew ŁódźEkstraklasa1-0
2025-11-23Widzew ŁódźKorona KielceEkstraklasa1-3
2025-04-11Korona KielceWidzew ŁódźEkstraklasa2-1
2024-12-04Korona KielceWidzew ŁódźCup1-0
2024-10-04Widzew ŁódźKorona KielceEkstraklasa0-1
2024-04-01Widzew ŁódźKorona KielceEkstraklasa3-1
2023-09-22Korona KielceWidzew ŁódźEkstraklasa1-1
2023-05-27Widzew ŁódźKorona KielceEkstraklasa0-3
2022-11-12Korona KielceWidzew ŁódźEkstraklasa0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.