Avia Świdnik
vs
Radomiak Radom
2 – 1 Full time
| 25′ | A. Tapsoba | ||
| 46′ | M. KolodziejskiM. Kumorek | ||
| 59′ | C. NunnelyManu | ||
| 59′ | E. BaldeR. Lumungo | ||
| 59′ | K. SzczesniakS. Kingue | ||
| 72′ | R. BaroLuquinhas | ||
| 73′ | D. PisarekK. Welniak | ||
| 73′ | P. UlicznyE. Kryeziu | ||
| 74′ | B. FalbierskiG. Aftyka | ||
| 76′ | A. Dieguez | ||
| 77′ | A. TapsobaF. Goure | ||
| 87′ | S. KaminskiK. Jodlowski | ||
| 90′ | G. Aftyka | ||
| 114′ | K. Welniak |
Avia Świdnik vs Radomiak Radom overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Avia Świdnik vs Radomiak Radom
| Probability | Avia Świdnik | Draw | Radomiak Radom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74.8% | 14.8% | 10.4% |
| Market | 21.7% | 25.2% | 53.1% |
| Final | 35.0% | 22.6% | 42.4% |
| Edge | +13.3% | -2.6% | -10.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Avia Świdnik and Radomiak Radom expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.15
Avia Świdnik and Radomiak Radom attack and defence ratings
Avia Świdnik
Radomiak Radom
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Avia Świdnik vs Radomiak Radom: result vs prediction
Avia Świdnik 2 – 1 Radomiak Radom
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Avia Świdnik vs Radomiak Radom markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Radomiak Radom | 42.4% | 2.36 | -10.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Avia Świdnik | 35.0% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| Radomiak Radom | 42.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 21.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.9% |
| No | 35.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Radomiak Radom win | 3.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 6.6% | |
| Loss | 89.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 8.2% |
| 2-1 | 8.1% | |
| 3-0 | 7.2% |
Avia Świdnik vs Radomiak Radom stats
Avia Świdnik and Radomiak Radom recent form
| WLWWW | |
| LLLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
Avia Świdnik vs Radomiak Radom head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Avia Świdnik vs Radomiak Radom odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.7%, draw 25.2%, away 53.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.26 | 3.58 | 1.68 |
| Bet365 | 4.10 | 3.50 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 4.20 | 3.70 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 4.10 | 3.70 | 1.75 |
| Betfair | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.70 |
| Dafabet | 4.30 | 3.75 | 1.74 |
| Marathonbet | 4.15 | 3.58 | 1.66 |
| Pinnacle | 3.93 | 3.58 | 1.75 |
| William Hill | 4.20 | 3.40 | 1.73 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .