Poland Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Avia Świdnik vs Radomiak Radom

2 – 1 Full time

25′A. Tapsoba
46′M. KolodziejskiM. Kumorek
59′C. NunnelyManu
59′E. BaldeR. Lumungo
59′K. SzczesniakS. Kingue
72′R. BaroLuquinhas
73′D. PisarekK. Welniak
73′P. UlicznyE. Kryeziu
74′B. FalbierskiG. Aftyka
76′A. Dieguez
77′A. TapsobaF. Goure
87′S. KaminskiK. Jodlowski
90′G. Aftyka
114′K. Welniak

Referee: D. Krumplewski

Avia Świdnik 35%
Draw 23%
Radomiak Radom 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Avia Świdnik vs Radomiak Radom overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Avia Świdnik vs Radomiak Radom

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAvia ŚwidnikDrawRadomiak Radom
Model74.8%14.8%10.4%
Market21.7%25.2%53.1%
Final35.0%22.6%42.4%
Edge+13.3%-2.6%-10.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Avia Świdnik ↓ / Radomiak Radom → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 7% 8% 3 7% 8% 4+ 12% 13% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 78%
No goals 2%

Avia Świdnik and Radomiak Radom expected goals

Avia Świdnik 3.02
Radomiak Radom 1.13

Total expected goals: 4.15

Avia Świdnik and Radomiak Radom attack and defence ratings

Avia Świdnik

Attack 1.42 +42%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Radomiak Radom

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.46 +46%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Avia Świdnik vs Radomiak Radom: result vs prediction

Avia Świdnik 2 – 1 Radomiak Radom

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Poland Cup

Before and after this match

Avia Świdnik vs Radomiak Radom markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Radomiak Radom 42.4% 2.36 -10.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 78.3% 1.28 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.9% 1.54 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.4% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 89.6% 1.12 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Avia Świdnik35.0%
Draw22.6%
Radomiak Radom42.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.578.3%
Under 2.521.7%
Both teams to scoreYes64.9%
No35.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.6%
12 (either side)77.4%
X2 (draw or away)65.0%
Handicap -1Radomiak Radom win3.9%
Push (exactly one goal)6.6%
Loss89.6%
Correct score (top 3)3-18.2%
2-18.1%
3-07.2%

Avia Świdnik vs Radomiak Radom stats

Avia Świdnik and Radomiak Radom recent form

newest first
Avia Świdnik WLWWW
Radomiak Radom LLLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Avia Świdnik vs Radomiak Radom head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Avia Świdnik vs Radomiak Radom odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 21.7%, draw 25.2%, away 53.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.26 3.58 1.68
Bet365 4.10 3.50 1.70
BetVictor 4.20 3.70 1.70
Betano 4.10 3.70 1.75
Betfair 4.00 3.75 1.70
Dafabet 4.30 3.75 1.74
Marathonbet 4.15 3.58 1.66
Pinnacle 3.93 3.58 1.75
William Hill 4.20 3.40 1.73

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.15 ▲ +0.05
X 3.58 —
2 1.70 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .