Sparta Praha
vs
Lillestrom
1 – 1 Full time
| 18′ | Martin Suchomel | ||
| 28′ | Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim | ||
| 30′ | Ebrima Singhateh | ||
| 45′ | Ebrima SinghatehJosimar Alcocer | ||
| 56′ | Josimar Alcocer | ||
| 61′ | Sivert Heggheim MannsverkRoman Macek | ||
| 61′ | Matej JurasekJohn Mercado | ||
| 61′ | Martin SuchomelKi-Jana Hoever | ||
| 65′ | Daniel BassiEric Kitolano | ||
| 65′ | Fredrik GulbrandsenThomas Lehne Olsen | ||
| 70′ | Gustav Kjolstad NyheimHenrik Molvaer Melland | ||
| 73′ | Winston Robin Yaw PaintsilFrederik Elkaer | ||
| 73′ | Felix VáGustav Nordh | ||
| 77′ | Roman Macek | ||
| 85′ | Andy IrvingSantiago Eneme | ||
| 90′ | Thomas Lehne Olsen | ||
| 90′ | Henrik Molvaer Melland |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 6 |
| 343 | Accurate passes | 303 |
Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom
| Probability | Sparta Praha | Draw | Lillestrom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66.6% | 18.8% | 14.6% |
| Market | 71.5% | 17.3% | 11.2% |
| Final | 70.3% | 17.7% | 12.1% |
| Edge | -1.2% | +0.4% | +0.9% |
Why Sparta Praha
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.53 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sparta Praha and Lillestrom expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.67
Sparta Praha and Lillestrom attack and defence ratings
Sparta Praha
Lillestrom
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom: result vs prediction
Sparta Praha 1 – 1 Lillestrom
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
- Lyon vs Crystal Palace
- AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
- Lech Poznan v Bayer Leverkusen — match page
- Red Bull Salzburg v AC Milan — match page
- Union St. Gilloise v Real Sociedad — match page
- Celje vs Omonia Nicosia — team news & stats
- Torreense vs Sunderland — team news & stats
- Bournemouth v Sturm Graz — match page
Before and after this match
Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sparta Praha | 70.3% | 1.42 | -1.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.5% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Sparta Praha win | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sparta Praha | 70.3% |
| Draw | 17.7% | |
| Lillestrom | 12.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.5% |
| No | 36.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sparta Praha win | 45.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 33.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.3% |
| 2-0 | 8.1% | |
| 1-1 | 8.1% |
Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom stats
Sparta Praha and Lillestrom recent form
| Sparta Praha |
WWWWLL |
| Lillestrom |
DWLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.5%, draw 17.3%, away 11.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.35 | 5.58 | 9.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 5.50 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
| Betano | 1.38 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.36 | 5.60 | 7.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 5.50 | 8.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34 | 5.64 | 8.71 |
| SBO | 1.33 | 5.22 | 7.14 |
| William Hill | 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .