Bournemouth
vs
Sturm Graz
3 – 0 Full time
| 14′ | Francisco Evanilson | ||
| 41′ | Belmin Beganovic | ||
| 43′ | Francisco Evanilson | ||
| 58′ | Bafode Diakite | ||
| 61′ | Belmin BeganovicOumar Diakité | ||
| 62′ | Adam SmithJames Hill | ||
| 66′ | Julio Soler | ||
| 69′ | Tyler AdamsRyan Christie | ||
| 70′ | Marcus TavernierJustin Kluivert | ||
| 70′ | Francisco EvanilsonRayan Vitor Simplício Rocha | ||
| 75′ | Jacob Peter HödlJulian Halwachs | ||
| 75′ | Petar PetrovićAlbert Vallci | ||
| 75′ | Simon SeidlAxel Kayombo | ||
| 76′ | Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha | ||
| 83′ | Luis BalboPaul Koller | ||
| 84′ | Ben Gannon-DoakAmine Adli | ||
| 85′ | Julian Halwachs | ||
| 87′ | Albert Vallci | ||
| 90′ | Álvaro Rodríguez |
Match stats
| 23 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 380 | Accurate passes | 203 |
Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz
| Probability | Bournemouth | Draw | Sturm Graz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.2% | 27.0% | 24.8% |
| Market | 81.5% | 12.0% | 6.6% |
| Final | 73.2% | 15.7% | 11.1% |
| Edge | -8.3% | +3.8% | +4.6% |
Why Bournemouth
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.12.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bournemouth and Sturm Graz expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.73
Bournemouth and Sturm Graz attack and defence ratings
Bournemouth
Sturm Graz
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz: result vs prediction
Bournemouth 3 – 0 Sturm Graz
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
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- Red Bull Salzburg v AC Milan — match page
- Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom — team news & stats
- Union St. Gilloise v Real Sociedad — match page
- Celje vs Omonia Nicosia — team news & stats
- Torreense vs Sunderland — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bournemouth | 73.2% | 1.37 | -8.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.9% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bournemouth | 73.2% |
| Draw | 15.7% | |
| Sturm Graz | 11.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% |
| No | 45.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 26.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bournemouth win | 25.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 52.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 9.4% |
Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz stats
Bournemouth and Sturm Graz recent form
| Bournemouth |
LLWDWD |
| Sturm Graz |
WLDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 81.5%, draw 12.0%, away 6.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.19 | 8.20 | 14.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.17 | 7.50 | 15.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.14 | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| Betano | 1.20 | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| Betfair | 1.17 | 7.50 | 14.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.18 | 8.20 | 14.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.17 | 8.10 | 14.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.18 | 8.30 | 15.13 |
| SBO | 1.17 | 7.14 | 11.56 |
| William Hill | 1.18 | 7.00 | 12.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .