Austria Vienna
vs
Sturm Graz
0 – 2 Full time
| 45′ | Oumar Diakité | ||
| 55′ | Oumar Diakité | ||
| 64′ | Oumar DiakitéAxel Kayombo | ||
| 64′ | ibrahim buhariJulian Hettwer | ||
| 64′ | Philipp MaybachVasilije Markovic | ||
| 66′ | Luca Weinhandl | ||
| 77′ | Daniel Nnodim | ||
| 77′ | Stephan Helm | ||
| 79′ | Jon Gorenc StankovićJulian Halwachs | ||
| 80′ | Sanel SaljicKelvin Owusu Boateng | ||
| 80′ | Daniel NnodimLee Tae-seok | ||
| 86′ | Manfred FischerFlorian Wustinger | ||
| 86′ | Jacob Peter HödlPetar Petrović | ||
| 90′ | Luis Balbo |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 5 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 4 | Saves | 0 |
| 280 | Accurate passes | 195 |
Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz
| Probability | Austria Vienna | Draw | Sturm Graz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.6% | 27.7% | 27.7% |
| Market | 28.8% | 26.9% | 44.3% |
| Final | 32.7% | 27.1% | 40.2% |
| Edge | +4.0% | +0.2% | -4.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Austria Vienna and Sturm Graz expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.71
Austria Vienna and Sturm Graz attack and defence ratings
Austria Vienna
Sturm Graz
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz: result vs prediction
Austria Vienna 0 – 2 Sturm Graz
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sturm Graz | 40.2% | 2.49 | -4.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Austria Vienna | 32.7% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Sturm Graz | 40.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% |
| No | 44.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sturm Graz win | 11.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.1% | |
| Loss | 72.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-0 | 9.0% |
Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz stats
Austria Vienna and Sturm Graz recent form
| Austria Vienna |
DWWLLD |
| Sturm Graz |
LDWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Austria Vienna and Sturm Graz going into this match
Austria Vienna record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sturm Graz record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Sturm Graz | Austria Vienna | Austria Bundesliga | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Austria Vienna | Sturm Graz | Austria Bundesliga | 2-5 |
| 2025-12-14 | Austria Vienna | Sturm Graz | Austria Bundesliga | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Sturm Graz | Austria Vienna | Austria Bundesliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-27 | Sturm Graz | Austria Vienna | Bundesliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-23 | Austria Vienna | Sturm Graz | Bundesliga | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-07 | Sturm Graz | Austria Vienna | Bundesliga | 2-2 |
| 2025-02-01 | Sturm Graz | Austria Vienna | Cup | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-25 | Austria Vienna | Sturm Graz | Bundesliga | 2-2 |
| 2024-02-02 | Sturm Graz | Austria Vienna | Cup | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.8%, draw 26.9%, away 44.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.24 | 3.44 | 2.12 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.30 | 2.12 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
| Dafabet | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.19 |
| Marathonbet | 3.24 | 3.44 | 2.10 |
| Pinnacle | 3.47 | 3.66 | 2.12 |
| SBO | 2.92 | 3.12 | 2.14 |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
46 snapshots recorded, from .