Austria Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 7

Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna

2 – 2 Full time

15′Alexander Hofleitner
16′Reinhold Ranftl
45′Manfred Fischer
49′Alexander Hofleitner
55′Jacob Italiano
58′Leon Klassen
61′Kelvin Owusu BoatengJulian Hettwer
64′Yannick Oberleitner
70′Leon KlassenMatthias Gragger
70′Vasilije MarkovicSanel Saljic
70′Lee Tae-seokMatteo Schablas
72′Johannes Handl
79′Christian LichtenbergerAnthony Kevin Smits
79′Jacob ItalianoPetar Markovic
79′Valentino MüllerKang-Hee Lee
79′Johannes HandlFlorian Wustinger
81′Peter Michorl
81′Kang-Hee Lee
83′Alexander HofleitnerDaniel Maderner
87′Florian Wustinger
90′Michael Sollbauer

Stadion Graz-Liebenau, GrazReferee: Arnes Talic

Grazer AK 34%
Draw 28%
Austria Vienna 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
48 Possession % 52
2 Corners 4
12 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 1
2 Saves 3
237 Accurate passes 290

Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGrazer AKDrawAustria Vienna
Model34.5%27.0%38.6%
Market34.2%28.5%37.3%
Final34.3%28.1%37.7%
Edge+0.3%-1.5%+1.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Grazer AK ↓ / Austria Vienna → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 7%

Grazer AK and Austria Vienna expected goals

Grazer AK 1.42
Austria Vienna 1.50

Total expected goals: 2.92

Grazer AK and Austria Vienna attack and defence ratings

Grazer AK

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Austria Vienna

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna: result vs prediction

Grazer AK 2 – 2 Austria Vienna

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Austria Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Austria Vienna 37.7% 2.66 +1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.8% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.0% 1.67 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.9% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.6% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Grazer AK34.3%
Draw28.1%
Austria Vienna37.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.8%
Under 2.544.2%
Both teams to scoreYes60.0%
No40.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.3%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)65.7%
Handicap -1Austria Vienna win19.1%
Push (exactly one goal)19.2%
Loss61.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
1-28.6%
2-18.1%

Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna stats

Grazer AK and Austria Vienna recent form

newest first
Grazer AK WWDLLW
Austria Vienna WWLLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Grazer AK and Austria Vienna going into this match

league record before kick-off

Grazer AK record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

Austria Vienna record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Grazer AK wins 1Draws 4Austria Vienna wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-31Austria ViennaGrazer AKFriendlies Clubs2-0
2025-11-08Austria ViennaGrazer AKAustria Bundesliga2-1
2025-08-03Grazer AKAustria ViennaAustria Bundesliga2-2
2025-03-01Grazer AKAustria ViennaBundesliga1-2
2024-10-05Austria ViennaGrazer AKBundesliga2-1
2019-02-15Grazer AKAustria ViennaCup2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.4%, draw 28.3%, away 37.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.71 3.26 2.50
Bet365 2.75 3.30 2.50
BetVictor 2.80 3.30 2.50
Betano 2.50 3.35 2.70
Betfair 2.45 3.40 2.63
Marathonbet 2.71 3.26 2.50
Pinnacle 2.88 3.40 2.55
SBO 2.38 3.06 2.60
William Hill 2.70 3.10 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.73 ▲ +0.22
X 3.28 ▼ -0.03
2 2.50 ▼ -0.17

18 snapshots recorded, from .