Grazer AK
vs
Red Bull Salzburg
0 – 0 Full time
| 54′ | Sota KitanoHaris Tabaković | ||
| 54′ | Jesper LindstromAboubacar Sidiki Camara | ||
| 54′ | Yorbe VertessenEdmund Baidoo | ||
| 55′ | Abubakr Barry | ||
| 64′ | Tim Drexler | ||
| 68′ | Christian LichtenbergerTim Trummer | ||
| 68′ | Abubakr BarryBartosz Mazurek | ||
| 75′ | Christopher CvetkoPetar Markovic | ||
| 75′ | Karim KonateGaoussou Diakité | ||
| 83′ | Beres OwusuLudwig Vraa Jensen | ||
| 89′ | Jacob Italiano |
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 36 | Possession % | 64 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 4 |
| 169 | Accurate passes | 386 |
Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg
| Probability | Grazer AK | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 13.4% | 21.1% | 65.5% |
| Market | 18.2% | 21.1% | 60.7% |
| Final | 17.0% | 21.1% | 61.9% |
| Edge | -1.2% | -0.0% | +1.2% |
Why Red Bull Salzburg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Grazer AK and Red Bull Salzburg expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.05
Grazer AK and Red Bull Salzburg attack and defence ratings
Grazer AK
Red Bull Salzburg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg: result vs prediction
Grazer AK 0 – 0 Red Bull Salzburg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 61.9% | 1.62 | +1.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Red Bull Salzburg win | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grazer AK | 17.0% |
| Draw | 21.1% | |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 61.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% |
| No | 46.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 38.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Red Bull Salzburg win | 42.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 34.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.0% |
| 1-1 | 10.0% | |
| 1-2 | 9.8% |
Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg stats
Grazer AK and Red Bull Salzburg recent form
| Grazer AK |
DWWDLL |
| Red Bull Salzburg |
WWDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Grazer AK and Red Bull Salzburg going into this match
Grazer AK record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Red Bull Salzburg record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Grazer AK | Red Bull Salzburg | Austria Bundesliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Red Bull Salzburg | Grazer AK | Austria Bundesliga | 5-0 |
| 2024-11-02 | Red Bull Salzburg | Grazer AK | Bundesliga | 0-0 |
| 2024-08-02 | Grazer AK | Red Bull Salzburg | Bundesliga | 2-3 |
| 2023-02-04 | Red Bull Salzburg | Grazer AK | Friendlies Clubs | 3-4 |
| 2019-04-03 | Grazer AK | Red Bull Salzburg | Cup | 0-6 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.2%, draw 21.1%, away 60.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.47 | 4.55 | 1.50 |
| Bet365 | 5.50 | 4.10 | 1.57 |
| BetVictor | 5.50 | 4.40 | 1.53 |
| Betano | 4.90 | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| Dafabet | 5.20 | 4.50 | 1.59 |
| Marathonbet | 5.10 | 4.40 | 1.53 |
| Pinnacle | 5.01 | 4.53 | 1.62 |
| SBO | 4.80 | 4.10 | 1.53 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
45 snapshots recorded, from .