Austria Bundesliga Β· Β·Matchday 8

WSG Wattens vs Ried

Garuda Lions Prediction: Ried

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 8% model probability

Tivoli Stadion Tirol, InnsbruckReferee: Julian Weinberger

WSG Wattens 36%
Draw 25%
Ried 38%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Ried wins
38%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
71%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
8% of simulated outcomes

WSG Wattens vs Ried overview

Garuda Lions analysis: WSG Wattens vs Ried

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWSG WattensDrawRied
Model39.1%23.6%37.3%
Market35.6%26.0%38.4%
Final36.5%25.4%38.1%
Edge+3.5%-2.4%-1.1%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 2.52, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

WSG Wattens vs Ried match preview

WSG Wattens faces Ried in a closely matched encounter, with both teams having a 37% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 26%. The expected goals for WSG Wattens is 1.83, slightly higher than Ried's 1.79, indicating a competitive game. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2 in favor of Ried, with an 8% probability.

Recent form shows WSG Wattens with a record of L-D-W-W-W-L, while Ried has W-D-W-L-W-L. In their last four head-to-head meetings, WSG Wattens has secured 1 win, 1 draw, and Ried has 2 wins. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 70%, and both teams to score stands at 71%, suggesting an engaging match ahead.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

WSG Wattens ↓ / Ried β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 4%

WSG Wattens and Ried expected goals

WSG Wattens 1.83
Ried 1.79

Total expected goals: 3.63

WSG Wattens and Ried attack and defence ratings

WSG Wattens

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Ried

Attack 1.38 +38%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Austria Bundesliga

Before and after this match

WSG Wattens vs Ried markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ried 38.1% 2.62 -1.1% 2.52
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.2% 1.43 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 70.9% 1.41 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.6% 1.34 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 62.7% 1.60 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2WSG Wattens36.5%
Draw25.4%
Ried38.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.2%
Under 2.529.8%
Both teams to scoreYes70.9%
No29.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.9%
12 (either side)74.6%
X2 (draw or away)63.5%
Handicap -1Ried win19.9%
Push (exactly one goal)17.4%
Loss62.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.6%
2-18.0%
1-27.8%

WSG Wattens vs Ried stats

WSG Wattens and Ried recent form

newest first
WSG Wattens LDWWWL
Ried WDWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

WSG Wattens and Ried season so far

league record

WSG Wattens record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ried record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

WSG Wattens vs Ried head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4WSG Wattens wins 3Draws 2Ried wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-25WSG WattensRiedAustria Bundesliga1-0
2026-03-14RiedWSG WattensAustria Bundesliga2-1
2026-02-22WSG WattensRiedAustria Bundesliga1-1
2025-10-04RiedWSG WattensAustria Bundesliga2-0
2023-05-12WSG WattensRiedBundesliga1-1
2023-04-14RiedWSG WattensBundesliga1-1
2022-11-12WSG WattensRiedBundesliga2-0
2022-08-21RiedWSG WattensBundesliga1-2
2022-04-23WSG WattensRiedBundesliga2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

WSG Wattens vs Ried odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.6%, draw 26.0%, away 38.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.60 3.58 2.43
Bet365 2.62 3.60 2.45
BetVictor 2.60 3.60 2.40
Betano 2.62 3.45 2.52
Betfair 2.63 3.75 2.40
Dafabet 2.65 3.65 2.50
Marathonbet 2.60 3.58 2.43
Pinnacle 2.69 3.65 2.48
SBO 2.54 3.29 2.32
William Hill 2.62 3.40 2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.62 β–² +0.02
X 3.59 β–² +0.19
2 2.43 β–Ό -0.07

44 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Ried Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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