Garuda Lions
Today
Austria Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 8

TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau

4 – 3 Full time

8′Marco Hoffmann
11′Albin Gashi
43′Dominik Weixelbraun
55′Marco Hoffmann
59′Benjamin MarkusTobias Kainz
59′Angelo GattermayerAndrija Radulovic
60′Nikolaus Feldhofer
69′Lord AfrifaAlieu Conateh
69′Antonio VerinacLenn Jastremski
69′Albin GashiMatthias Maak
69′Danilo SoaresAnilson Dourado Santiado
69′Seydou DiarraPius Grabher
70′Manuel PfeiferHabib Coulibaly
70′Nikolaus FeldhoferOliver Lukic
72′Pius Grabher
86′Marco Hoffmann
87′Jed DrewLukas Spendlhofer
90′Dominik Weixelbraun

Profertil Arena, HartbergReferee: Markus Greinecker

TSV Hartberg 43%
Draw 26%
Austria Lustenau 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 15
12 Shots on target 6
56 Possession % 44
5 Corners 4
9 Fouls 11
5 Offsides 1
3 Saves 8
395 Accurate passes 291

TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau overview

Garuda Lions analysis: TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTSV HartbergDrawAustria Lustenau
Model41.3%22.4%36.3%
Market43.8%26.9%29.3%
Final43.2%25.8%31.1%
Edge-0.6%-1.1%+1.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

TSV Hartberg ↓ / Austria Lusten → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 7% 5% 2 8% 7% 5% 3 5% 5% 4+ 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 75%
No goals 3%

TSV Hartberg and Austria Lustenau expected goals

TSV Hartberg 2.03
Austria Lustenau 1.90

Total expected goals: 3.93

TSV Hartberg and Austria Lustenau attack and defence ratings

TSV Hartberg

Attack 1.34 +34%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Austria Lustenau

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau: result vs prediction

TSV Hartberg 4 – 3 Austria Lustenau

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Austria Bundesliga

Before and after this match

TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 TSV Hartberg 43.2% 2.32 -0.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75.2% 1.33 — —
Both teams to score Yes 74.7% 1.34 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.2% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.7% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2TSV Hartberg43.2%
Draw25.8%
Austria Lustenau31.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575.2%
Under 2.524.8%
Both teams to scoreYes74.7%
No25.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.9%
12 (either side)74.2%
X2 (draw or away)56.8%
Handicap -1TSV Hartberg win23.5%
Push (exactly one goal)17.8%
Loss58.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.3%
2-17.7%
2-27.3%

TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau stats

TSV Hartberg and Austria Lustenau recent form

newest first
TSV Hartberg DDWWWL
Austria Lustenau WLWLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

TSV Hartberg and Austria Lustenau going into this match

league record before kick-off

TSV Hartberg record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Austria Lustenau record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4TSV Hartberg wins 3Draws 3Austria Lustenau wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-10-29Austria LustenauTSV HartbergCup0-3
2023-10-29Austria LustenauTSV HartbergBundesliga0-4
2023-07-29TSV HartbergAustria LustenauBundesliga2-2
2023-06-02Austria LustenauTSV HartbergBundesliga5-1
2023-03-31TSV HartbergAustria LustenauBundesliga0-1
2022-11-05TSV HartbergAustria LustenauBundesliga1-1
2022-08-14Austria LustenauTSV HartbergBundesliga4-1
2018-05-25TSV HartbergAustria Lustenau2. Liga2-0
2018-04-06Austria LustenauTSV Hartberg2. Liga0-4
2017-11-17TSV HartbergAustria Lustenau2. Liga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.8%, draw 26.9%, away 29.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.11 3.48 3.24
Bet365 2.15 3.50 3.20
BetVictor 2.15 3.50 3.20
Betano 2.22 3.40 3.05
Betfair 2.05 3.60 3.25
Dafabet 2.18 3.60 3.20
Marathonbet 2.09 3.48 3.24
Pinnacle 2.18 3.76 3.23
SBO 2.14 3.24 3.01
William Hill 2.10 3.40 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▼ -0.15
X 3.49 ▲ +0.09
2 3.20 ▲ +0.32

47 snapshots recorded, from .