Austria Bundesliga Β· Β·Matchday 9

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg

Garuda Lions Prediction: Rapid Vienna

3 – 1 Predicted score Β· 7% model probability

Allianz Stadion, Vienna

Rapid Vienna 75%
Draw 13%
TSV Hartberg 12%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Rapid Vienna wins
75%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
99%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
75%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
3 – 1
7% of simulated outcomes

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRapid ViennaDrawTSV Hartberg
Model75.3%13.2%11.5%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final75.3%13.2%11.5%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Rapid Vienna

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.51 vs 1.46.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rapid Vienna ↓ / TSV Hartberg β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 3 4+ 11% 16% 11%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 96%
3+ goals 87%
No goals 1%

Rapid Vienna and TSV Hartberg expected goals

Rapid Vienna 3.51
TSV Hartberg 1.46

Total expected goals: 4.97

Rapid Vienna and TSV Hartberg attack and defence ratings

Rapid Vienna

Attack 1.92 +92%
Defence 0.87 -13%

TSV Hartberg

Attack 1.34 +34%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Before and after this match

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rapid Vienna 75.3% 1.33 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 87.2% 1.15 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 74.8% 1.34 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.5% 1.13 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Rapid Vienna win 58.6% 1.71 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rapid Vienna75.3%
Draw13.2%
TSV Hartberg11.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.587.2%
Under 2.512.8%
Both teams to scoreYes74.8%
No25.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.5%
12 (either side)86.8%
X2 (draw or away)24.7%
Handicap -1Rapid Vienna win58.6%
Push (exactly one goal)16.7%
Loss24.7%
Correct score (top 3)3-17.3%
4-16.4%
2-16.3%

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg stats

Rapid Vienna and TSV Hartberg recent form

newest first
Rapid Vienna WWWLWD
TSV Hartberg DDWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rapid Vienna and TSV Hartberg season so far

league record

Rapid Vienna record

  • They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
  • They average 4.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

TSV Hartberg record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Rapid Vienna wins 2Draws 1TSV Hartberg wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-22Rapid ViennaTSV HartbergAustria Bundesliga0-2
2026-04-19TSV HartbergRapid ViennaAustria Bundesliga2-2
2026-02-07Rapid ViennaTSV HartbergAustria Bundesliga1-1
2025-08-31TSV HartbergRapid ViennaAustria Bundesliga0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Rapid Vienna Predicted score 3 – 1 Low Bet Now
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