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Austria Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg

3 – 1 Full time

5′Petter Nosakhare Dahl
26′Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao
45′Petter Nosakhare Dahl
45′Nikolaus FeldhoferTobias Kainz
45′Youba DiarraOliver Lukic
49′Magnus Dalpiaz
50′Luka·Maric
57′Konstantin Schopp
61′Tonni AdamsenMoulaye Haïdara
66′Manuel PfeiferJed Drew
71′Ercan KaraClaudy M'Buyi
71′Petter Nosakhare DahlMarco Tilio
75′Angelo GattermayerAndrija Radulovic
81′Jannes Horn
85′Nicolas BajliczLouis Schaub
85′Yusuf DemirNikolaus Wurmbrand
89′Marco HoffmannJonas Karner
90′Jonas Karner

Allianz Stadion, ViennaReferee: Daniel Pfister

Rapid Vienna 75%
Draw 15%
TSV Hartberg 10%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
54 Possession % 46
1 Corners 5
9 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 2
3 Saves 2
526 Accurate passes 442

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRapid ViennaDrawTSV Hartberg
Model76.1%12.8%11.1%
Market75.2%15.3%9.5%
Final75.4%14.7%9.9%
Edge+0.2%-0.6%+0.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Rapid Vienna

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.58 vs 1.47.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rapid Vienna ↓ / TSV Hartberg → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 3 4+ 11% 16% 12%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 96%
3+ goals 88%
No goals 1%

Rapid Vienna and TSV Hartberg expected goals

Rapid Vienna 3.58
TSV Hartberg 1.47

Total expected goals: 5.06

Rapid Vienna and TSV Hartberg attack and defence ratings

Rapid Vienna

Attack 1.84 +84%
Defence 0.79 -21%

TSV Hartberg

Attack 1.47 +47%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg: result vs prediction

Rapid Vienna 3 – 1 TSV Hartberg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Austria Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rapid Vienna 75.4% 1.33 +0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 88.0% 1.14 — —
Both teams to score Yes 75.3% 1.33 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 90.1% 1.11 — —
Handicap -1 Rapid Vienna win 59.7% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rapid Vienna75.4%
Draw14.7%
TSV Hartberg9.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.588.0%
Under 2.512.0%
Both teams to scoreYes75.3%
No24.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)90.1%
12 (either side)85.3%
X2 (draw or away)24.6%
Handicap -1Rapid Vienna win59.7%
Push (exactly one goal)16.4%
Loss23.9%
Correct score (top 3)3-17.2%
4-16.5%
2-16.0%

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg stats

Rapid Vienna and TSV Hartberg recent form

newest first
Rapid Vienna WWWWLW
TSV Hartberg WDDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rapid Vienna and TSV Hartberg going into this match

league record before kick-off

Rapid Vienna record

  • They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
  • They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

TSV Hartberg record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Rapid Vienna wins 2Draws 5TSV Hartberg wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-22Rapid ViennaTSV HartbergAustria Bundesliga0-2
2026-04-19TSV HartbergRapid ViennaAustria Bundesliga2-2
2026-02-07Rapid ViennaTSV HartbergAustria Bundesliga1-1
2025-08-31TSV HartbergRapid ViennaAustria Bundesliga0-1
2025-03-09TSV HartbergRapid ViennaBundesliga2-1
2024-10-20Rapid ViennaTSV HartbergBundesliga2-1
2024-05-19Rapid ViennaTSV HartbergBundesliga0-3
2024-03-31TSV HartbergRapid ViennaBundesliga0-3
2023-11-11TSV HartbergRapid ViennaBundesliga1-0
2023-08-13Rapid ViennaTSV HartbergBundesliga0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 74.5%, draw 15.5%, away 10.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.24 6.15 9.85
Bet365 1.27 5.75 10.00
BetVictor 1.25 6.50 10.00
Betano 1.29 5.60 8.50
Betfair 1.25 6.00 9.50
Dafabet 1.29 6.20 8.80
Marathonbet 1.23 6.15 10.00
Pinnacle 1.27 6.65 9.30
SBO 1.27 5.51 7.53
William Hill 1.25 6.00 9.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.25 ▼ -0.04
X 6.15 ▲ +0.78
2 9.93 ▲ +0.83

14 snapshots recorded, from .