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Austria Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz

0 – 4 Full time

Planet Pure Stadion, LustenauReferee: Emil Ristoskov

Austria Lustenau 20%
Draw 19%
Lask Linz 61%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAustria LustenauDrawLask Linz
Model42.5%19.1%38.4%
Market12.5%19.0%68.6%
Final20.0%19.0%61.0%
Edge+30.0%+0.1%-30.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Austria Lusten ↓ / Lask Linz → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 5% 4% 5% 2 5% 7% 5% 6% 3 5% 6% 5% 5% 4+ 5% 7% 5% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 96%
3+ goals 88%
No goals 1%

Austria Lustenau and Lask Linz expected goals

Austria Lustenau 2.57
Lask Linz 2.46

Total expected goals: 5.03

Austria Lustenau and Lask Linz attack and defence ratings

Austria Lustenau

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Lask Linz

Attack 1.63 +63%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz: result vs prediction

Austria Lustenau 0 – 4 Lask Linz

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Austria Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lask Linz 61.0% 1.64 -30.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 87.8% 1.14 — —
Both teams to score Yes 84.8% 1.18 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 81.0% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.6% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Austria Lustenau20.0%
Draw19.0%
Lask Linz61.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.587.8%
Under 2.512.2%
Both teams to scoreYes84.8%
No15.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)39.0%
12 (either side)81.0%
X2 (draw or away)80.0%
Handicap -1Lask Linz win22.9%
Push (exactly one goal)15.6%
Loss61.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-26.5%
3-25.6%
2-35.4%

Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz stats

Austria Lustenau and Lask Linz recent form

newest first
Austria Lustenau LWLWLD
Lask Linz LLDLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Austria Lustenau and Lask Linz going into this match

league record before kick-off

Austria Lustenau record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Lask Linz record

  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Austria Lustenau wins 2Draws 7Lask Linz wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-12-09Austria LustenauLask LinzBundesliga1-3
2023-09-03Lask LinzAustria LustenauBundesliga2-0
2023-02-24Lask LinzAustria LustenauBundesliga1-0
2022-09-11Austria LustenauLask LinzBundesliga1-1
2017-04-14Lask LinzAustria Lustenau2. Liga2-0
2016-11-25Austria LustenauLask Linz2. Liga2-4
2016-09-16Lask LinzAustria Lustenau2. Liga3-1
2016-07-22Austria LustenauLask Linz2. Liga1-1
2016-05-06Lask LinzAustria Lustenau2. Liga0-2
2016-03-14Austria LustenauLask Linz2. Liga0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 12.6%, draw 18.4%, away 69.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 7.49 4.85 1.37
Bet365 7.00 5.25 1.38
BetVictor 7.50 5.25 1.36
Betano 7.00 5.20 1.36
Betfair 8.50 5.50 1.30
Dafabet 7.40 5.40 1.37
Marathonbet 7.50 4.85 1.36
Pinnacle 8.09 5.02 1.40
SBO 6.18 4.80 1.33
William Hill 7.00 4.50 1.36

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 7.50 ▲ +0.50
X 4.93 ▲ +0.21
2 1.37 ▼ -0.02

15 snapshots recorded, from .