Austria Bundesliga Β· Β·Matchday 9

Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens

Garuda Lions Prediction: Wolfsberger AC

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 7% model probability

Lavanttal-Arena, WolfsburgReferee: Isa Simsek

Wolfsberger AC 37%
Draw 26%
WSG Wattens 37%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Wolfsberger AC wins
37%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
65%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
7% of simulated outcomes

Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWolfsberger ACDrawWSG Wattens
Model31.1%25.0%44.0%
Market39.2%26.6%34.2%
Final37.1%26.2%36.7%
Edge-8.1%-1.6%+9.7%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 2.50, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens match preview

Wolfsberger AC faces WSG Wattens in their upcoming Austria Bundesliga match on October 18, 2026. According to our model, Wolfsberger AC has a 39% chance of winning, while WSG Wattens stands at 36%, with a 25% probability for a draw. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Wolfsberger AC, occurring at a rate of 7%. Both teams are expected to score, with a 65% probability for this outcome, and the model suggests a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 63%.

Recent form indicates that Wolfsberger AC has struggled, recording three losses and two draws in their last five matches. In contrast, WSG Wattens has shown improvement with two wins and a draw in their last five games, including a recent winning streak. The expected goals for the match are 1.47 for Wolfsberger AC and 1.78 for WSG Wattens, reflecting a competitive encounter.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Wolfsberger AC ↓ / WSG Wattens β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 11% 9% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Wolfsberger AC and WSG Wattens expected goals

Wolfsberger AC 1.47
WSG Wattens 1.78

Total expected goals: 3.25

Wolfsberger AC and WSG Wattens attack and defence ratings

Wolfsberger AC

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.29 +29%

WSG Wattens

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Austria Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wolfsberger AC 37.1% 2.69 -8.1% 2.50
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.0% 1.59 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 65.0% 1.54 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.8% 1.35 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 68.9% 1.45 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Wolfsberger AC37.1%
Draw26.2%
WSG Wattens36.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.0%
Under 2.537.0%
Both teams to scoreYes65.0%
No35.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.3%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)62.9%
Handicap -1Wolfsberger AC win14.8%
Push (exactly one goal)16.2%
Loss68.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
1-29.0%
2-17.5%

Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens stats

Wolfsberger AC and WSG Wattens recent form

newest first
Wolfsberger AC LLLDLD
WSG Wattens LLDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Wolfsberger AC and WSG Wattens season so far

league record

Wolfsberger AC record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

WSG Wattens record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Wolfsberger AC wins 4Draws 2WSG Wattens wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-16Wolfsberger ACWSG WattensAustria Bundesliga2-0
2026-04-04WSG WattensWolfsberger ACAustria Bundesliga3-1
2025-11-02Wolfsberger ACWSG WattensAustria Bundesliga0-0
2025-08-31WSG WattensWolfsberger ACAustria Bundesliga1-1
2025-02-22WSG WattensWolfsberger ACBundesliga3-3
2024-09-29Wolfsberger ACWSG WattensBundesliga1-3
2024-05-18Wolfsberger ACWSG WattensBundesliga3-1
2024-03-16WSG WattensWolfsberger ACBundesliga1-1
2024-02-17Wolfsberger ACWSG WattensBundesliga4-1
2023-09-23WSG WattensWolfsberger ACBundesliga2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.3%, draw 26.2%, away 34.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.35 3.52 2.78
Bet365 2.40 3.70 2.62
BetVictor 2.38 3.60 2.63
Betano 2.37 3.60 2.70
Betfair 2.30 3.75 2.70
Dafabet 2.37 3.70 2.80
Marathonbet 2.33 3.52 2.77
Pinnacle 2.50 3.42 2.80
SBO 2.25 3.34 2.59
William Hill 2.40 3.30 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.39 β–² +0.05
X 3.52 β–Ό -0.05
2 2.74 β–² +0.01

16 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Wolfsberger AC Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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