UEFA Champions League · Full time ·League Stage - 2

Lask Linz vs Liverpool

3 – 6 Full time

22′Ronald Araujo
24′Bradley Barcola
37′Bradley Barcola
45′Kasper JorgensenFlorian Flecker
51′Jeremie Frimpong
62′Jérémy JacquetVirgil van Dijk
62′Ronald AraujoJoe Gomez
62′Melayro BogardeRobert Ljubicic
63′Robert Ljubicic
66′Bradley Barcola
71′Samuel AdeniranSasa Kalajdzic
71′Alessandro SchöpfDaniel Elfadli
72′Lewis Koumas
73′Bradley BarcolaVíctor Muñoz
74′Florian Flecker
77′Florian Flecker
80′Daniel Elfadli
82′Christoph LangNaël Mamadou Lamine Kane
85′Treymaurice NyoniAlexis Mac Allister
85′Rio NgumohaLuke Chambers

Raiffeisen Arena, LinzReferee: Tobias Stieler

Lask Linz 26%
Draw 19%
Liverpool 55%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 26
4 Shots on target 9
36 Possession % 64
3 Corners 11
7 Fouls 4
3 Offsides 6
2 Saves 1
251 Accurate passes 523

Lask Linz vs Liverpool overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Lask Linz vs Liverpool

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLask LinzDrawLiverpool
Model65.6%19.2%15.2%
Market12.2%19.0%68.8%
Final25.5%19.0%55.4%
Edge+13.4%+0.0%-13.4%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Liverpool

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Lask Linz ↓ / Liverpool → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 8% 2 8% 9% 5% 3 7% 8% 4+ 8% 9% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 3%

Lask Linz and Liverpool expected goals

Lask Linz 2.48
Liverpool 1.15

Total expected goals: 3.63

Lask Linz and Liverpool attack and defence ratings

Lask Linz

Attack 1.42 +42%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Liverpool

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Lask Linz vs Liverpool: result vs prediction

Lask Linz 3 – 6 Liverpool

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

UEFA Champions League

Before and after this match

Lask Linz vs Liverpool markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Liverpool 55.4% 1.80 -13.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.3% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.4% 1.58 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 81.0% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 84.8% 1.18 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Lask Linz25.5%
Draw19.0%
Liverpool55.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.3%
Under 2.529.7%
Both teams to scoreYes63.4%
No36.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)44.6%
12 (either side)81.0%
X2 (draw or away)74.5%
Handicap -1Liverpool win5.9%
Push (exactly one goal)9.3%
Loss84.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.4%
1-18.3%
2-08.1%

Lask Linz vs Liverpool stats

Lask Linz and Liverpool recent form

newest first
Lask Linz LDLLWW
Liverpool LWWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Lask Linz vs Liverpool head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Lask Linz wins 0Draws 2Liverpool wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-11-30LiverpoolLask LinzUEFA Europa League4-0
2023-09-21Lask LinzLiverpoolUEFA Europa League1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Lask Linz vs Liverpool odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 12.2%, draw 19.0%, away 68.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 7.70 5.33 1.43
Bet365 8.00 5.00 1.38
BetVictor 8.00 5.00 1.36
Betano 8.25 5.00 1.42
Betfair 8.00 5.00 1.36
Dafabet 7.20 5.20 1.41
Marathonbet 7.60 5.25 1.41
Pinnacle 7.91 5.26 1.38
SBO 6.76 4.73 1.36
William Hill 6.50 4.80 1.36

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 7.80 ▼ -2.70
X 5.00 ▼ -1.50
2 1.38 ▲ +0.13

16 snapshots recorded, from .