Lask Linz
vs
Liverpool
Garuda Lions Prediction: Liverpool
1 – 2 Predicted score · 4% model probability
Lask Linz vs Liverpool overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lask Linz vs Liverpool
| Probability | Lask Linz | Draw | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70.2% | 16.9% | 12.8% |
| Market | 9.0% | 14.7% | 76.3% |
| Final | 24.3% | 15.2% | 60.4% |
| Edge | +61.2% | +2.3% | -63.5% |
Why Liverpool
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.29, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Lask Linz vs Liverpool match preview
Lask Linz faces Liverpool in the UEFA Champions League with a kickoff scheduled for October 14, 2026. The model indicates a 24% chance for Lask Linz to win, while Liverpool holds a 60% probability of securing victory. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, with a 4% likelihood. The match is expected to feature over 2.5 goals at 75%, and both teams are anticipated to score with a 65% probability.
In terms of recent form, Lask Linz has recorded a mixed performance with a draw, two losses, and three wins in their last six matches. Conversely, Liverpool has been more consistent, achieving four wins, one draw, and one loss in their recent outings. The expected goals for Lask Linz stand at 2.75, while Liverpool is expected to score 1.15.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lask Linz and Liverpool expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.91
Lask Linz and Liverpool attack and defence ratings
Lask Linz
Liverpool
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
- Feyenoord v Como — match page
- Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain
- Aston Villa v Fenerbahçe — match page
- Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund — team news & stats
- Roma vs Real Madrid
- Real Betis v FC Porto — match page
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC — team news & stats
- Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart
Before and after this match
Lask Linz vs Liverpool markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Liverpool | 60.4% | 1.65 | -63.5% | 1.29 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lask Linz | 24.3% |
| Draw | 15.2% | |
| Liverpool | 60.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.8% |
| No | 35.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Liverpool win | 4.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 7.9% | |
| Loss | 87.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.8% |
| 3-1 | 8.1% | |
| 2-0 | 7.6% |
Lask Linz vs Liverpool stats
Lask Linz vs Liverpool head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Lask Linz vs Liverpool odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 9.0%, draw 14.7%, away 76.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 11.00 | 6.81 | 1.29 |
| Bet365 | 12.00 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| BetVictor | 10.50 | 6.50 | 1.22 |
| Betano | 11.50 | 6.10 | 1.25 |
| Betfair | 11.00 | 6.50 | 1.20 |
| Dafabet | 10.00 | 6.60 | 1.25 |
| Marathonbet | 10.50 | 6.50 | 1.26 |
| Pinnacle | 10.69 | 7.11 | 1.21 |
| SBO | 7.62 | 5.42 | 1.21 |
| William Hill | 9.50 | 6.00 | 1.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .