Austria Bundesliga Β· Β·Matchday 8

Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna

Garuda Lions Prediction: Lask Linz

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 6% model probability

Raiffeisen Arena, LinzReferee: Arnes Talic

Lask Linz 49%
Draw 23%
Rapid Vienna 28%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Lask Linz wins
49%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
98%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
81%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
6% of simulated outcomes

Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLask LinzDrawRapid Vienna
Model42.3%20.3%37.4%
Market51.9%23.5%24.6%
Final49.5%22.7%27.8%
Edge-9.6%-3.2%+12.8%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 1.84, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna match preview

Lask Linz faces Rapid Vienna in an intriguing matchup with Lask holding a 49% probability of victory compared to Rapid's 28% and a 23% chance of a draw. The expected goals for Lask Linz stand at 2.35, while Rapid Vienna has an expected goal count of 2.22, suggesting a competitive encounter. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Lask Linz, with an 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and an 81% chance that both teams will score.

In terms of recent form, Lask Linz has recorded results of D-L-L-W-W-W, while Rapid Vienna shows a form of W-W-W-L-W-D. The head-to-head record over the last four matches favors Lask Linz with three wins to Rapid Vienna's one. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Lask Linz ↓ / Rapid Vienna β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 6% 4% 4% 2 6% 7% 5% 5% 3 5% 6% 4% 4% 4+ 5% 6% 4% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 95%
3+ goals 83%
No goals 2%

Lask Linz and Rapid Vienna expected goals

Lask Linz 2.35
Rapid Vienna 2.22

Total expected goals: 4.57

Lask Linz and Rapid Vienna attack and defence ratings

Lask Linz

Attack 1.78 +78%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Rapid Vienna

Attack 1.92 +92%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Austria Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lask Linz 49.5% 2.02 -9.6% 1.84
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 83.4% 1.20 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 81.2% 1.23 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.3% 1.29 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 57.7% 1.73 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Lask Linz49.5%
Draw22.7%
Rapid Vienna27.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.583.4%
Under 2.516.6%
Both teams to scoreYes81.2%
No18.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.2%
12 (either side)77.3%
X2 (draw or away)50.5%
Handicap -1Lask Linz win25.3%
Push (exactly one goal)16.9%
Loss57.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-27.0%
2-16.4%
1-26.0%

Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna stats

Lask Linz and Rapid Vienna recent form

newest first
Lask Linz DLLWWW
Rapid Vienna WWWLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Lask Linz and Rapid Vienna season so far

league record

Lask Linz record

  • They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
  • They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rapid Vienna record

  • They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
  • They average 4.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

3Lask Linz wins 0Draws 1Rapid Vienna wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-04Lask LinzRapid ViennaAustria Bundesliga3-1
2026-03-22Rapid ViennaLask LinzAustria Bundesliga4-2
2025-11-30Lask LinzRapid ViennaAustria Bundesliga3-0
2025-10-19Rapid ViennaLask LinzAustria Bundesliga0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.9%, draw 23.5%, away 24.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.78 3.94 3.92
Bet365 1.80 3.90 3.90
BetVictor 1.80 4.00 3.60
Betano 1.80 4.10 3.70
Betfair 1.75 4.20 3.80
Dafabet 1.84 4.10 3.80
Marathonbet 1.76 3.94 3.94
Pinnacle 1.81 4.05 3.92
SBO 1.81 3.67 3.32
William Hill 1.80 3.75 3.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 β€”
X 3.97 β–² +0.17
2 3.80 β€”

44 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Lask Linz Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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