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Austria Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 7

TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz

3 – 3 Full time

7′Sascha Horvath
21′Konstantin Schopp
30′Christoph Lang
45′Moses UsorSasa Kalajdzic
45′Angelo GattermayerJed Drew
45′Oliver LukicAndrija Radulovic
46′Andrija Radulovic
58′Andres Andrade
68′Tobias Kainz
68′João Victor TornichAlessandro Schöpf
68′Tobias KainzYouba Diarra
68′Christoph LangMiguel Freckleton
68′Sascha HorvathSamuel Adeniran
72′Andrija Radulovic
77′Jed Drew
77′Andrija Radulovic
83′Melayro BogardeKrystof Danek
89′Marco HoffmannDavid Korherr
90′Fabian Wilfinger

Profertil Arena, HartbergReferee: Safak Barmaksiz

TSV Hartberg 12%
Draw 18%
Lask Linz 70%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 6
40 Possession % 60
1 Corners 9
16 Fouls 5
6 Offsides 1
3 Saves 0
276 Accurate passes 433

TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz overview

Garuda Lions analysis: TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTSV HartbergDrawLask Linz
Model21.6%20.2%58.2%
Market9.3%17.3%73.4%
Final12.4%18.0%69.6%
Edge+12.3%+2.8%-15.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Lask Linz

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.47 vs 1.49.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

TSV Hartberg ↓ / Lask Linz → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 5% 5% 1 8% 9% 7% 8% 2 5% 6% 5% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 3%

TSV Hartberg and Lask Linz expected goals

TSV Hartberg 1.49
Lask Linz 2.47

Total expected goals: 3.96

TSV Hartberg and Lask Linz attack and defence ratings

TSV Hartberg

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Lask Linz

Attack 1.80 +80%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz: result vs prediction

TSV Hartberg 3 – 3 Lask Linz

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Austria Bundesliga

Before and after this match

TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lask Linz 69.6% 1.44 -15.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75.6% 1.32 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.7% 1.40 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 87.6% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.8% 2.39 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2TSV Hartberg12.4%
Draw18.0%
Lask Linz69.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575.6%
Under 2.524.4%
Both teams to scoreYes71.7%
No28.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)30.4%
12 (either side)82.0%
X2 (draw or away)87.6%
Handicap -1Lask Linz win38.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss41.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-28.7%
1-17.7%
1-37.1%

TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz stats

TSV Hartberg and Lask Linz recent form

newest first
TSV Hartberg DWWWLL
Lask Linz LLWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

TSV Hartberg and Lask Linz going into this match

league record before kick-off

TSV Hartberg record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Lask Linz record

  • They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
  • They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0TSV Hartberg wins 5Draws 5Lask Linz wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-26TSV HartbergLask LinzAustria Bundesliga1-5
2026-03-13Lask LinzTSV HartbergAustria Bundesliga0-0
2025-12-06TSV HartbergLask LinzAustria Bundesliga2-2
2025-10-05Lask LinzTSV HartbergAustria Bundesliga3-3
2025-05-26Lask LinzTSV HartbergBundesliga2-0
2025-05-10Lask LinzTSV HartbergBundesliga0-0
2025-04-12TSV HartbergLask LinzBundesliga0-1
2024-11-02Lask LinzTSV HartbergBundesliga1-1
2024-08-03TSV HartbergLask LinzBundesliga1-2
2024-04-24TSV HartbergLask LinzBundesliga1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 9.3%, draw 17.3%, away 73.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 10.10 5.30 1.28
Bet365 10.00 5.50 1.28
BetVictor 10.50 6.00 1.25
Betano 8.50 5.40 1.30
Betfair 11.00 5.50 1.22
Marathonbet 10.25 5.30 1.27
Pinnacle 10.87 5.63 1.29
SBO 8.10 5.42 1.26
William Hill 10.00 5.00 1.29

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 10.10 ▲ +4.20
X 5.42 ▲ +1.03
2 1.28 ▼ -0.20

19 snapshots recorded, from .