Austria Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 6

WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg

2 – 2 Full time

14′Oliver Lukic
44′Marco Hoffmann
62′Nikolai Baden FrederiksenLukas Hinterseer
62′M. OlakigbeMoritz Wels
63′Youba DiarraMatthias Postl
72′Lukas Hinterseer
73′Marco HoffmannHabib Coulibaly
77′Thomas GoigingerMurat Satin
84′paul komposchLukas Spendlhofer
84′Fabian WilfingerJed Drew
88′Marc StriednigThomas Sabitzer
90′Murat Satin

Tivoli Stadion Tirol, InnsbruckReferee: Achim Untergasser, Austria

WSG Wattens 45%
Draw 26%
TSV Hartberg 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 4
66 Possession % 34
14 Corners 5
10 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 2
2 Saves 5
449 Accurate passes 193

WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWSG WattensDrawTSV Hartberg
Model49.9%23.6%26.5%
Market43.6%26.5%29.8%
Final45.2%25.8%29.0%
Edge+6.3%-2.9%-3.4%

Confidence: Low

Why WSG Wattens

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 1.41.
  • The market prices WSG Wattens below the model: +6.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

WSG Wattens ↓ / TSV Hartberg → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 10% 7% 2 7% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

WSG Wattens and TSV Hartberg expected goals

WSG Wattens 1.99
TSV Hartberg 1.41

Total expected goals: 3.40

WSG Wattens and TSV Hartberg attack and defence ratings

WSG Wattens

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 0.92 -8%

TSV Hartberg

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg: result vs prediction

WSG Wattens 2 – 2 TSV Hartberg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Austria Bundesliga

Before and after this match

WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 WSG Wattens 45.2% 2.21 +6.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.0% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.2% 1.51 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.2% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.1% 2.00 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2WSG Wattens45.2%
Draw25.8%
TSV Hartberg29.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.0%
Under 2.534.0%
Both teams to scoreYes66.2%
No33.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.0%
12 (either side)74.2%
X2 (draw or away)54.8%
Handicap -1WSG Wattens win29.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.5%
Loss50.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.3%
2-19.3%
1-26.6%

WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg stats

WSG Wattens and TSV Hartberg recent form

newest first
WSG Wattens WWWLLD
TSV Hartberg WWWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

WSG Wattens and TSV Hartberg going into this match

league record before kick-off

WSG Wattens record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

TSV Hartberg record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2WSG Wattens wins 2Draws 6TSV Hartberg wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-13TSV HartbergWSG WattensAustria Bundesliga2-1
2025-08-02WSG WattensTSV HartbergAustria Bundesliga4-2
2025-05-17TSV HartbergWSG WattensBundesliga3-2
2025-04-05WSG WattensTSV HartbergBundesliga1-3
2025-02-09WSG WattensTSV HartbergBundesliga0-0
2024-09-26TSV HartbergWSG WattensBundesliga1-0
2024-03-03WSG WattensTSV HartbergBundesliga1-0
2023-10-07TSV HartbergWSG WattensBundesliga3-0
2023-05-06TSV HartbergWSG WattensBundesliga5-0
2023-04-29WSG WattensTSV HartbergBundesliga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.0%, draw 26.5%, away 29.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.05 3.60 3.25
1xBet 2.14 3.52 3.16
Bet365 2.15 3.50 3.20
BetVictor 2.15 3.60 3.13
Betano 2.18 3.50 3.05
Betfair 2.10 3.60 3.00
Dafabet 2.02 3.55 3.40
Marathonbet 2.12 3.52 3.16
Pinnacle 2.18 3.69 3.30
SBO 2.08 3.25 2.95
William Hill 2.10 3.40 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.14 ▲ +0.07
X 3.52 ▲ +0.03
2 3.13 ▼ -0.17

25 snapshots recorded, from .