WSG Wattens
vs
TSV Hartberg
2 – 2 Full time
| 14′ | Oliver Lukic | ||
| 44′ | Marco Hoffmann | ||
| 62′ | Nikolai Baden FrederiksenLukas Hinterseer | ||
| 62′ | M. OlakigbeMoritz Wels | ||
| 63′ | Youba DiarraMatthias Postl | ||
| 72′ | Lukas Hinterseer | ||
| 73′ | Marco HoffmannHabib Coulibaly | ||
| 77′ | Thomas GoigingerMurat Satin | ||
| 84′ | paul komposchLukas Spendlhofer | ||
| 84′ | Fabian WilfingerJed Drew | ||
| 88′ | Marc StriednigThomas Sabitzer | ||
| 90′ | Murat Satin |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 66 | Possession % | 34 |
| 14 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 449 | Accurate passes | 193 |
WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg
| Probability | WSG Wattens | Draw | TSV Hartberg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.9% | 23.6% | 26.5% |
| Market | 43.6% | 26.5% | 29.8% |
| Final | 45.2% | 25.8% | 29.0% |
| Edge | +6.3% | -2.9% | -3.4% |
Why WSG Wattens
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 1.41.
- The market prices WSG Wattens below the model: +6.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
WSG Wattens and TSV Hartberg expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.40
WSG Wattens and TSV Hartberg attack and defence ratings
WSG Wattens
TSV Hartberg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg: result vs prediction
WSG Wattens 2 – 2 TSV Hartberg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | WSG Wattens | 45.2% | 2.21 | +6.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | WSG Wattens | 45.2% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| TSV Hartberg | 29.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.2% |
| No | 33.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | WSG Wattens win | 29.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 50.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-2 | 6.6% |
WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg stats
WSG Wattens and TSV Hartberg recent form
| WWWLLD | |
| WWWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
WSG Wattens and TSV Hartberg going into this match
WSG Wattens record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
TSV Hartberg record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | TSV Hartberg | WSG Wattens | Austria Bundesliga | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-02 | WSG Wattens | TSV Hartberg | Austria Bundesliga | 4-2 |
| 2025-05-17 | TSV Hartberg | WSG Wattens | Bundesliga | 3-2 |
| 2025-04-05 | WSG Wattens | TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga | 1-3 |
| 2025-02-09 | WSG Wattens | TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-26 | TSV Hartberg | WSG Wattens | Bundesliga | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-03 | WSG Wattens | TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga | 1-0 |
| 2023-10-07 | TSV Hartberg | WSG Wattens | Bundesliga | 3-0 |
| 2023-05-06 | TSV Hartberg | WSG Wattens | Bundesliga | 5-0 |
| 2023-04-29 | WSG Wattens | TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.0%, draw 26.5%, away 29.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.25 |
| 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.52 | 3.16 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.50 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.02 | 3.55 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.52 | 3.16 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18 | 3.69 | 3.30 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
25 snapshots recorded, from .