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Austria Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Ried vs Red Bull Salzburg

1 – 1 Full time

54′Niama SissokoJoris Boguo
58′Yorbe VertessenJesper Lindstrom
64′Sota Kitano
66′Stefan Schwab
66′Abubakr Barry
72′Jussef NasraweJ. Rhodes
73′Sota KitanoKarim Konate
73′Edmund BaidooDamir Redzic
74′Martin RasnerLukas Malicsek
79′M. Despotović
84′Karim Konate
86′Philipp Pomer
90′J. RhodesEvan Eghosa Aisowieren
90′Nikolas Veratschnig
90′Joris Boguo

Innviertel Arena, Ried

Ried 17%
Draw 21%
Red Bull Salzburg 62%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 24
2 Shots on target 6
32 Possession % 68
5 Corners 7
8 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 2
5 Saves 1
238 Accurate passes 605

Ried vs Red Bull Salzburg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ried vs Red Bull Salzburg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRiedDrawRed Bull Salzburg
Model17.7%19.7%62.6%
Market16.4%21.5%62.1%
Final16.7%21.0%62.3%
Edge+1.2%-1.7%+0.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Red Bull Salzburg

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.46 vs 1.28.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ried ↓ / Red Bull Salzb → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 7% 6% 7% 1 8% 9% 8% 8% 2 5% 6% 5% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

Ried and Red Bull Salzburg expected goals

Ried 1.28
Red Bull Salzburg 2.46

Total expected goals: 3.74

Ried and Red Bull Salzburg attack and defence ratings

Ried

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Red Bull Salzburg

Attack 1.74 +74%
Defence 0.67 -33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ried vs Red Bull Salzburg: result vs prediction

Ried 1 – 1 Red Bull Salzburg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Austria Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Ried vs Red Bull Salzburg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Red Bull Salzburg 62.3% 1.61 +0.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.1% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.8% 1.50 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 83.3% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Red Bull Salzburg win 42.0% 2.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ried16.7%
Draw21.0%
Red Bull Salzburg62.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.1%
Under 2.527.9%
Both teams to scoreYes66.8%
No33.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)37.7%
12 (either side)79.0%
X2 (draw or away)83.3%
Handicap -1Red Bull Salzburg win42.0%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss37.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-29.2%
1-18.2%
1-37.6%

Ried vs Red Bull Salzburg stats

Ried and Red Bull Salzburg recent form

newest first
Ried WLWLLD
Red Bull Salzburg WWWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ried and Red Bull Salzburg going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ried record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Red Bull Salzburg record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.

Ried vs Red Bull Salzburg head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Ried wins 2Draws 8Red Bull Salzburg wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-11-02Red Bull SalzburgRiedAustria Bundesliga4-1
2025-08-02RiedRed Bull SalzburgAustria Bundesliga2-2
2023-10-12Red Bull SalzburgRiedFriendlies Clubs1-0
2023-02-26Red Bull SalzburgRiedBundesliga2-0
2022-09-10RiedRed Bull SalzburgBundesliga0-3
2022-05-01Red Bull SalzburgRiedCup3-0
2022-01-18Red Bull SalzburgRiedFriendlies Clubs3-1
2021-10-30RiedRed Bull SalzburgBundesliga2-2
2021-08-01Red Bull SalzburgRiedBundesliga7-1
2021-01-27Red Bull SalzburgRiedBundesliga3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ried vs Red Bull Salzburg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 18.0%, draw 21.6%, away 60.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.80 4.20 1.60
1xBet 5.53 4.30 1.53
888Sport 4.80 4.20 1.53
Bet365 5.75 4.50 1.50
BetVictor 5.75 4.60 1.50
Betano 5.20 4.10 1.57
Betfair 5.00 4.50 1.55
Dafabet 5.00 4.50 1.60
Marathonbet 5.65 4.30 1.51
Pinnacle 6.20 4.42 1.54
SBO 4.46 3.98 1.54
Superbet 4.80 4.30 1.58
Unibet 5.10 4.35 1.55
William Hill 5.50 4.00 1.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.70 ▲ +1.20
X 4.36 ▲ +0.46
2 1.50 ▼ -0.15

25 snapshots recorded, from .