Levski Sofia
vs
Red Bull Salzburg
0 – 1 Full time
| 39′ | Haris Tabaković | ||
| 41′ | Sota Kitano | ||
| 55′ | Álex Centelles | ||
| 56′ | Haris Tabaković | ||
| 58′ | Álex CentellesDavid Kusso | ||
| 60′ | Bartosz Mazurek | ||
| 63′ | Sota KitanoDamir Redzic | ||
| 65′ | Yorbe Vertessen | ||
| 69′ | Yorbe VertessenKarim Konate | ||
| 76′ | Reinaldo Nascimento SatornoJuan Esteban Perea Sanchez | ||
| 76′ | Armstrong Oko-FlexMazire Soula | ||
| 88′ | Christian MakounAsen Mitkov | ||
| 88′ | Francisco Everton Mota de CastroSteven Stoyanchov | ||
| 89′ | Edmund BaidooFrans Kratzig | ||
| 90′ | Abubakr Barry |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 21 |
| 6 | Saves | 0 |
| 401 | Accurate passes | 404 |
Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg
| Probability | Levski Sofia | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.0% | 30.0% | 34.1% |
| Market | 28.7% | 26.3% | 44.9% |
| Final | 30.5% | 27.2% | 42.2% |
| Edge | +7.3% | +3.6% | -10.9% |
Why Red Bull Salzburg
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Levski Sofia and Red Bull Salzburg expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.44
Levski Sofia and Red Bull Salzburg attack and defence ratings
Levski Sofia
Red Bull Salzburg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg: result vs prediction
Levski Sofia 0 – 1 Red Bull Salzburg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 42.2% | 2.37 | -10.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Levski Sofia | 30.5% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 42.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.0% |
| No | 49.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Red Bull Salzburg win | 14.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 65.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.0% | |
| 1-0 | 9.5% |
Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg stats
Levski Sofia and Red Bull Salzburg recent form
| Levski Sofia |
DWWWLW |
| Red Bull Salzburg |
DWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.7%, draw 26.3%, away 44.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.41 | 3.63 | 2.16 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.12 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 3.36 | 3.58 | 2.13 |
| Pinnacle | 3.45 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| SBO | 3.08 | 3.42 | 2.11 |
| William Hill | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .