Wallern / Marienkirchen
vs
Ried
1 – 5 Full time
| 16′ | E. E. Aisowieren | ||
| 32′ | M. Straif | ||
| 34′ | M. Rasner | ||
| 38′ | P. Pomer | ||
| 57′ | S. Schwab | ||
| 78′ | D. Misic |
Wallern / Marienkirchen vs Ried overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wallern / Marienkirchen vs Ried
| Probability | Wallern / Marienkirchen | Draw | Ried |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.1% | 20.6% | 63.3% |
| Market | 10.6% | 16.2% | 73.3% |
| Final | 11.9% | 17.3% | 70.8% |
| Edge | +5.5% | +4.4% | -10.0% |
Why Ried
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wallern / Marienkirchen and Ried expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.41
Wallern / Marienkirchen and Ried attack and defence ratings
Wallern / Marienkirchen
Ried
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Wallern / Marienkirchen vs Ried: result vs prediction
Wallern / Marienkirchen 1 – 5 Ried
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
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- Floridsdorfer AC v Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz — match page
- SV Lafnitz vs Austria Lustenau
- FC BW Linz v Wacker Innsbruck — match page
- Deutschlandsberger SC vs Lask Linz — team news & stats
- Voitsberg vs Sturm Graz
- Austria Salzburg v First Vienna — match page
Before and after this match
Wallern / Marienkirchen vs Ried markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ried | 70.8% | 1.41 | -10.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Ried win | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wallern / Marienkirchen | 11.9% |
| Draw | 17.3% | |
| Ried | 70.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.0% |
| No | 39.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 29.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 88.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ried win | 40.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 38.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.7% |
| 1-1 | 9.3% | |
| 0-2 | 8.8% |
Wallern / Marienkirchen vs Ried stats
Wallern / Marienkirchen and Ried recent form
| Wallern / Marienkirchen |
WL |
| Ried |
LWLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.
Wallern / Marienkirchen vs Ried head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-12 | Wallern / Marienkirchen | Ried | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Wallern / Marienkirchen vs Ried odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 10.6%, draw 16.2%, away 73.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 12.80 | 5.80 | 1.18 |
| Bet365 | 8.50 | 6.00 | 1.27 |
| BetVictor | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.14 |
| Betano | 7.60 | 5.30 | 1.27 |
| Betfair | 8.50 | 6.50 | 1.18 |
| Dafabet | 8.80 | 6.00 | 1.26 |
| Marathonbet | 10.00 | 5.25 | 1.22 |
| Pinnacle | 7.32 | 4.80 | 1.23 |
| Superbet | 7.40 | 6.30 | 1.27 |
| William Hill | 12.00 | 5.00 | 1.22 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .